GOP Nominee
Former Candidates
Rasmussen it out with their weekly national GOP primary poll, and the results look like this:
Giuliani - 32% (27)
McCain - 18% (19)
Gingrich - 10% (13)
Romney - 8% (9)
Huckabee - 4% (4)
Poll taken Feb 5-8 of 507 likely GOP primary voters, and has a MoE of 5%.
This is Gingrich’s lowest percentage since these weekly polls began - could it be that people are finally realizing he’s not really running? It looks like Giuliani takes his five point increase from the other front-running candidates, which is great news for the Rudy camp. McCain and Romney have their work cut out for them to move their poll numbers, as they have both been within a 2 point swing for five weeks now. This poll was taken entirely before Romney’s announcement speech, however, so it will be interesting to see if that has any effect on next week’s poll.
February 14th, 2007 at 11:18 am
[...] post by HeavyM and software by Elliott [...]
February 14th, 2007 at 12:03 pm
Everyone likes Newt, but they don’t think he is elect-able.
February 14th, 2007 at 1:10 pm
“Romney - 8% (9)
Huckabee - 4% (4)”
Hmmm…the new beacon of hope can’t do better than that against Arkansas’s favorite pastor?
February 14th, 2007 at 2:44 pm
Just saw this on NRO - “Rudy is a total jerk“.
It will be interesting to see how his poll numbers and favorable/unfavorable numbers do after people start making negative attack ads with material like this. It seems to me that one of the things that could take Rudy down fastest would be if Donna Hanover would ever record a commercial where she attacked Rudy for the way he handled the divorce and what it did to the family.
February 14th, 2007 at 4:51 pm
With these recent poll numbers, Rudy has a real moment here. He has so many things taht would seemingly eliminate him from contention, yet he’s always done well polling wise and has been pulling away from McCain to the point where even the media won’t be able to cover for him any more.
The thing about politics, though, is that things can change.
If Rudy can take advantage of these recent numbers, get off to a good start, do well fundraising wise, fill the coffers and pick up key support organization wise, he may pull away to a point where he picks up an air of inevitability.
People back the strong horse and if you see a few more polls with him having 15 point leads or more, it’ll be that much tougher for other candidates.
With CA, NY, FL, NJ, IL and others moving up their primaries to 2/5, it lessens the importance of IA, NH and SC.
As for negative attacks, they’ll surely come, but he’s ran 3 NYC mayoral campaigns and the press there gets as negative as anyone. He’s been through it all and it may appear as if it’s just rehashing old news.
Although it did seem to blunt McCain’s sails in 2000.
One thing is sure, from the media’s perspective, Rudy would be the most fun to cover, so they’ll be oushing him on the GOP side, at least until this time next year when the Hillary onslaught begins.
February 14th, 2007 at 6:05 pm
“he picks up an air of inevitability”
I was talking with a McCain staffer last night, and he revealed that this was the McCain strategy. They thought that by getting endorsements and hiring staff, they would have that air of inevitability.
It just proves that you can’t manufacture enthusiasm.
Rudy’s momentum is real.