More good news for fans of Romney this morning:
Public Policy Polling Republican South Carolina Primary (PDF warning)
Thompson – 22%
Giuliani – 18%
Romney – 17%
McCain – 11%
Huckabee – 7%
Brownback – 3%
Paul – 2%
All others – 1% or lessSurvey was done August 13 of 749 likely primary voters, and has an MoE of 3.6%.
August 15th, 2007 at 12:25 pm
That’s a huge jump in SC where Romney had been falling off recently.
Good to see, waiting till the end of the week to get real happy though.
August 15th, 2007 at 12:27 pm
[...] post by MattC and software by Elliott [...]
August 15th, 2007 at 12:28 pm
Ahh – but only a 1 point jump from that same polls previous numbers and Rudy was up also.
Thompson down 5 and McCain down 4 are the bigger stories
August 15th, 2007 at 12:33 pm
I believe that’s a nice little bounce for Huckabee there. I think the last poll I saw had him at 5% in SC.
August 15th, 2007 at 12:34 pm
This shows that McCain’s statement that the Iowa straw poll is meaningless
is wrong. It seems to be more meaningful than anyone imagined.
August 15th, 2007 at 12:50 pm
Whoa! That is like the highest ever for Mitt! Is this an outliner? And besides, I do not think this is a post-Ames polls. What’s the date here?
August 15th, 2007 at 12:52 pm
Huck continues to climb…
August 15th, 2007 at 12:54 pm
SGS – This is the highest for Mitt for this poll, by 1% he scored 16% in the last PPP poll.
But if you look at pollster.com, the aggregate of polling for Mitt in SC has trended downward recently. So as nice as 17% looks on the face, this poll doesn’t say much for Mitt.
Wait for more polls for trends before anything can be said about SC.
August 15th, 2007 at 12:56 pm
The polls was compiled on Aug 13th, so I don’t think any of the results were from post-Ames. I could not find the exact dates. Anyone know how to find the dates?
August 15th, 2007 at 12:58 pm
Sami, last PPP polls from SC? Yes, that is why I was surprised at his number. Pollster.com had him averaged at 5.1%. This polls has his number over 3 times higher? More likely an outliner.
August 15th, 2007 at 1:02 pm
SGS – as was I … notice my first post. I was like WOW, HUGE jump.. and then I looked at the prior PPP poll and basically fell into /yawn mode.
August 15th, 2007 at 1:13 pm
Mitt is “moving the chains” as they say in football. I can’t believe it. I’ve always wanted him to do well and I’m actually getting what I want this year!
August 15th, 2007 at 1:16 pm
Now I can get a little excited about this. Romney up big in SC? Nice…
August 15th, 2007 at 1:34 pm
SC, more than any other early state, seems to be hard to get reliable, consistant polling out of.
According to Wikipedia, the last five polls (including this one) have put Romney at 11%, 8%, 7%, 4%, and now 17%.
August 15th, 2007 at 2:20 pm
SC polls haven’t been consistant. It makes you wonder what’s really going on there.
August 15th, 2007 at 2:33 pm
I sense the end for Brownback.
http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=NWU1ZWVkODcxNTU5ZGQzMzg4ODJkYzk1MWYwZmJlN2Q=
August 15th, 2007 at 2:40 pm
Mitt hasn’t been focusing on driving up his national poll numbers, but the last 2 national polls have shown him at 16 per cent. He’s paid a lot more attention to South Carolina, so it’s not surprising that he would be at or above his national numbers there. He has a solid organization in the state, with endorsements by Senator DeMint and others, and he’s had fundraising success in the state. He won a majority of the county straw polls in the state earlier this year, as well as the state’s College Young Republican poll and the Republican Women’s Organization poll. I’ve always thought that his numbers would go up in the state, and whether this is real or not, he has 5 months to make it happen. So, I don’t know how meaningful this poll is, but it’s not meaningless. It’s a harbinger of bigger and better things to come.
August 15th, 2007 at 2:57 pm
http://detnews.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20070815/POLITICS01/708150398/1022/POLITICS
Thompson 22
Giuliani 19
McCain 16
Romney 12
August 15th, 2007 at 3:04 pm
LOL Romney is almost tied for first with the MOE. So much for being unelectable in the South…
August 15th, 2007 at 3:11 pm
Oh my God.
outLIER.
Not outliner. Outlier.
August 15th, 2007 at 3:24 pm
Yeah, I think we can pretty much ignore that Michigan poll.
August 15th, 2007 at 3:49 pm
Great News!! Let’s hope it continues.
August 15th, 2007 at 4:06 pm
Kevin, thanks! Outliers… Outliers… Outliers… Ok, got it! Thanks again.
August 15th, 2007 at 5:20 pm
Here come the M-train!
August 15th, 2007 at 8:34 pm
Like I have said all along, the more Southerners get to know Mitt, the more they will like him.
August 15th, 2007 at 9:54 pm
Kevin,
Thanks. As much as I enjoy SGS that was starting to drive me crazy.
August 16th, 2007 at 2:16 am
Either we’re getting a few outliers recently, or Ames has provided a significant boost to Huckabee & Romney. If Romney gains traction in the South then Rudy & FDT are dead.
August 16th, 2007 at 10:40 am
To be frankly, “outlier” was a new word for me. And besides, English is my second language, so I am still learning. I really do appreciate the corrections.
August 16th, 2007 at 2:38 pm
Wow, good news for romney. if SC comes into play for him, he would be very difficult to stop.
August 16th, 2007 at 8:08 pm
SGS,
Not to pile on you, but you speak “frankly”, you be “frank” when you speak. Btw, outlier was a new word for me too. I still can’t get used to it being thrown out every other post.
Go Mitt!