September 6, 2007

Ohio Quinnipiac State Poll

Thanks to MetroRepublican for letting me know

Ohio GOP Primary 9/6 (last results from August 8 in parenthesis)

  • Rudy Giuliani 21% (29%)
  • Fred Thompson 15% (11%)
  • John McCain 10% (11%)
  • Newt Gingrich 9% (8%)
  • Mitt Romney 8% (8%)
  • Mike Huckabee 3% (1%)

Favorability rating: Favorables- Unfavorables-Haven’t Heard Enough

Giuliani
Total-48%30%-19%
Republicans only 70%-14%-15%
Independents 51%-26%-21%

McCain
Total 44%-28%-25%
Republicans Only 59%-19%-22%
Independents 44%-26%-26%

Romney
Total 24%-20%-54%
Republicans Only 44%-7%-48%
Independents 22%-20%-57%

Thompson
Total 25%-15%-58%
Republicans Only 44%-2%-52%
Independent 25%-12%-60%

From August 28 - September 3, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,430 Ohio voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. The survey includes 497 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points, and 528 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.3 percentage points.

by @ 10:23 am. Filed under Poll Watch
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12 Responses to “Ohio Quinnipiac State Poll”

  1. Irish Right Says:

    When you look at the top level numbers, it doesn’t look particularly positive for Romney. However (and I know I’ll be jumped on for this by the MittSlammers), it reinforces the observation that Giuliani and McCain have pretty much gotten their message out while Romney has yet to do so (54% haven’t heard enough). If form holds, as he does that his support rises significantly.

  2. nate Says:

    Rudy is a national celebrity and McCain ran well in 2000. Last year Romney had as much name ID as Tancredo and Hunter. Fred is on TV. Romney is the only “no-name” to break into the top tier this race. He did it by raising more money than Rudy. That got people’s attention.

    For the record, if Mitt wins Iowa and New Hampshire followed by Michigan he will be the next US president.

  3. MetroRepublican Says:

    nate, you could make that argument that he will be the nominee. That argument says nothing about the general election.

  4. nate Says:

    It says everything about the general. Hillary will get the nomination. At that point there will not be one single republican at home on election night. You will see an all time high in voter turn out.

  5. MetroRepublican Says:

    And for the record, I dispute that argument. All Rudy needs is to win 1 state before FL, to keep Floridians comfortable with sticking with Rudy. And that’s enough to keep CA and IL with Rudy on Mega Tuesday, along with NY, NJ, CT and DE, which are givens. Game over.

    I predict Rudy will win more than 1 state before FL.

  6. Lead Us Forward Says:

    [...] Jump to Comments http://race42008.com/2007/09/06/ohio-quinnipiac-state-poll/ [...]

  7. MetroRepublican Says:

    nate, no, “It” does not say everything about the general. You’re making a new, unrelated argument. And that argument is disproven by head-to-head polling. Rudy’s the strongest against Hillary, and even he’s behind:
    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_giuliani_vs_clinton-227.html

  8. nate Says:

    The RCP polls are a bit premature considering the general election is next year. Right now it’s a name ID pop quiz.

  9. Irish Right Says:

    Metro,

    All you have to do is look at the underlying “haven’t heard enough” numbers from this poll to realize how useless head-to-head polling is at this point. They’re nothing more than a beauty contest of nationally known names.

  10. Awakened Says:

    Giuliani has higher negatives among Republicans than Romney? Something smells fishy…

  11. Aron Goldman Says:

    Rudy Remains Quite the Ladies’ Man
    But Buckeyes Set Their Sights on Hillary

    Among registered Republican women in Ohio

    Rudy Giuliani 23%
    John McCain 9%
    Fred Thompson 9%
    Mitt Romney 8%
    Newt Gingrich 5%

    General Election Match-ups

    Hillary Clinton 47%
    Rudy Giuliani 40%

    Hillary Clinton 46%
    John McCain 41%

    Hillary Clinton 49%
    Fred Thompson 37%

    Hillary Clinton 50%
    Mitt Romney 37%

  12. Dave Says:

    Metro,
    So you’re sticking with your 1-state-before-Florida argument? As we’ve discussed before, there will be 6 states before Florida, anbd you’re saying that if Romney wins only 5 out of the 6, Rudy’s the nominee? For the sake of argument I’ll accept your silly premise. Name the state! And if you name any state besides South Carolina, you’re delusional. Rudy could win SC, although if Fred doesn’t win it he’ll be out of the race before Super Tuesday.

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