$5.08 million to be exact, and he will report $5.3 million cash on hand. Now them’s some impressive numbers… As Marc notes:
Ron Paul cannot be dismissed as a gadfly; the chance for him to outperform expectations rises exponentially with additional million dollars he raises. 5.08m is real money. There must be, within the Republican Party, a vein of anti-war libertarian sentiment. It is longer and deeper than many of us had suspected. The Paul movement is probably one part Buchanan bridage and one part fiscal hawk. It is clearly active in ways that most of us haven’t adequately understood. Paul may be in a position to be a giant killer now. Imagine if he finishes second or third in New Hampshire.
Ambinder also notes what Huckabee’s $600k COH will mean for his campaign:
Realistically, with so little cash, he can either run a single flight of ads for two weeks or fund his field operations.
Ouch. Huckabee down, Paul up. Way up.
October 3rd, 2007 at 1:27 pm
I think he can hurt Obama and Edwards in NH…
October 3rd, 2007 at 1:28 pm
$5 million for a nutcase like Ron Paul? Too many idiots…
October 3rd, 2007 at 1:30 pm
Wow, not bad for Ron Paul. Horrible for the Huckster.
October 3rd, 2007 at 1:31 pm
If paul actually gains some steam, who would he pull from? My guess is Rudy, since he seems to be the home of libertarian Repubs right now.
October 3rd, 2007 at 1:33 pm
[...] post by Matt C and software by Elliott [...]
October 3rd, 2007 at 1:38 pm
We are looking more and more like the Democrats in how divided our primary is!!
October 3rd, 2007 at 1:38 pm
Are democrats donating to Paul? I can’t believe our party has that many stupid people.
October 3rd, 2007 at 1:49 pm
I think it’s time to move Ron Paul up in the rankings. I’d say it’s probably safe to move Paul up to sixth place. Even with the fundraising advantage over Huck, I don’t think Paul’s got more power than Huck yet. YET. Who knows, though… Ron Paul has surprised me immensely. Also, Newt needs to be taken out of the Rankings.
October 3rd, 2007 at 1:49 pm
Congratulations to the Paul campaign. I don’t support him, but that’s impressive. Either he has hit on a note in the grassroots away from the internet, or their are some really rich Birchers out there maxing out.
October 3rd, 2007 at 1:52 pm
Romney has raised nearly 10 million, according to aides
http://www.eyewitnessnewstv.com/global/story.asp?s=7158442
October 3rd, 2007 at 1:53 pm
The stupid people are the ones who will support bigger government bankrupting their own country.
October 3rd, 2007 at 1:58 pm
I confess to having voted for Ron Paul in 1988 and met him. He isn’t an idiot or a nutjob. I think it’s safe to say that he doesn’t understand the IslamoFascist threat any more than he understood the Communist threat, but you can make a cogent argument for Fortress America. The libertarian movement is far stronger today than it was when I left it, but it will never be a major polayer in American politics. It’s major impact during the primary will be to siphon votes from independents who vote in Republican primaries. During the general, it will take votes from the Dems by attracting anti-war votes. This is a net positive, not a minus.
October 3rd, 2007 at 2:14 pm
he may not be an idiot (although he speaks that way in debates) – but his followers are crazy. i do not know where they come from, but they spam every poll, blog, mypsace, facebook, and article relating to the election.
October 3rd, 2007 at 2:18 pm
i blame this all on rudy’s grand standing in debate #2. no one paid any attention to him in debate #1 even though Ron Paul’s rhetoric was identical.
October 3rd, 2007 at 2:20 pm
7,
Are democrats donating to Paul?
ha! maybe. they’re the only ones who feel the need to open up their wallets for the 08 elections.
October 3rd, 2007 at 2:55 pm
Maybe Paul’s fans are made up of all the Reagan democrats (who are anti-war) and 9/11 democrats (who are anti-war).
That seems to be his loudest theme: anti-war.
October 3rd, 2007 at 3:01 pm
Yes, anti-war may be his loudest theme, but Americans are also sick and tired of the oppressive income tax, of growing restrictions on our precious liberties — but because spending, deficits, and Federal Reserve troublemaking have brought on a global financial crisis that endangers all of us. Now, of all times in our modern history, we need the message of sound money and economic freedom taught to all our people. How desperately we need the truth.
This is a dangerous time for all we believe in. Now, above all, we must spread the truths of the Constitution, of the rule of law, of life, of peace, of freedom, of an America that will truly be a city on the hill.
October 3rd, 2007 at 3:04 pm
David: ‘Yes, anti-war may be his loudest theme, but Americans are also sick and tired of the oppressive income tax, of growing restrictions on our precious liberties ‘
Like what?
October 3rd, 2007 at 3:08 pm
[...] experts estimated this, I now have good news for Paullites: their favorite Republican candidate has raised significantly more than $3 million. All in all, he’s raised more than $5 million. That’s, as Marc Ambinder points out, a [...]
October 3rd, 2007 at 3:44 pm
Without a doubt, the Dems and anti-war guys are giving to Paul. Nobody else is giving for this election. Dems/Libs give to Giuliani, Clinton, Obama, and probably Paul also. It’s the curse of the party with an incumbent in the White House.
*sigh*
October 3rd, 2007 at 4:09 pm
I just know there are Paul supporters out there. So far, in southeast Michigan, I’ve seen 1 each bumper sticker for Obama, Clinton, McCain and Romney (no Rudy for some reason). On the other hand I’ve seen 3 or 4 cars with stickers for Paul as well as a scattering of signs.
October 3rd, 2007 at 4:12 pm
Pending a confirmation from McCain’s campaign on his quarter contribution, Paul now is on the same league as McCain, both at 5 millions. Of course, Paul has much more cash on hand, but still, it either shows how long Paul has gone, or how low McCain has fallen. In any case, it cannot bond well for McCain himself, being donated as much as the so-called “least liked” candidate like Paul.
October 3rd, 2007 at 4:37 pm
Imagine $5 million in this quarter with a total Main Stream Media (MSM) blackout. Just think, if Ron Paul had just one-half the publicity the other candidates receive, he would be leading in the polls and would have collected more than Hillary.
Of course Ron Paul will never receive favorable mention in MSN because MSM is under one hand and will only support one of their hand picked candidates such as Hillary Rodham Clinton, John Edwards, Barack Obama, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee. The international bankers, and the CFC that own and control MSM don’t care which of the above wins since they have all sold out the American Public and will do their bidding.
For Ron Paul to win he must get enough supportors to educate the rest of the public by word of mouth. If MSM publishes anything at all, it will be with snide remarks, lies, misrepresentations. However their tricks and lies are not all bad, because it only makes it easier for Ron Paul supporters to show people the extreme bias and lies of MSM.
October 3rd, 2007 at 5:21 pm
Wow, that’s impressive.
October 3rd, 2007 at 5:27 pm
So check this out folks: on opensecrets . org
mitt spent 32 million his first two quarters of 07. That’s $16 million per quarter. This quarter should be at least that much considering we’re getting closer to the primaries and also you’ve got to add the Ames straw poll. I’m estimating Romney spent $18m this quarter and only raised $10m as Tommy points out in post 10.
That means Romney has NEGATIVE 5 Million when you subtract money from the one donor named Mitt Romney. Wowzers!
October 3rd, 2007 at 5:41 pm
Sampo,
If Romney hadn’t made personal loans, he wouldn’t have spent funds like he did. I don’t understand the relevance of the figure (it is well known that Romney is using his own wealth to supplement his campaign …). In the case of other candidates, low or negative funds suggests poor financial management – but it’s not poor financial management if you have an additional source of income and you are getting results from your expenditures, it seems to me …
October 3rd, 2007 at 5:47 pm
Casey: ‘So far, in southeast Michigan, I’ve seen 1 each bumper sticker for Obama, Clinton, McCain and Romney (no Rudy for some reason). On the other hand I’ve seen 3 or 4 cars with stickers for Paul as well as a scattering of signs.’
That can be explained by the fact that Ron Paul-supporters are far more fanatic. So if, let’s say, 1% of Obama-supporters get a bumpersticker, 50% of Paul-supporters would do that.
October 3rd, 2007 at 5:55 pm
On Monday, a whole slew of Paul signs and bumper stickers started appearing in my area. They are clear across town as of today. Man these Ron Paul folks are really into it.
October 3rd, 2007 at 6:21 pm
Wow! Gotta correct this, though:
“# Jason Says:
October 3rd, 2007 at 1:31 pm
If paul actually gains some steam, who would he pull from? My guess is Rudy, since he seems to be the home of libertarian Repubs right now.”
The Ron Paul people HATE, HATE, HATE Rudy Giuliani. He is GOP Opponent #1. They hate how he knocked Ron Paul around in the first debate and they think he’s a neoconservative fascist who wants to repeal all of the civil liberties Americans have in order to survey them 24/7. Rudy people would never go to Paul because part of Rudy’s appeal is his vigorous stance on the War on Terror.
October 3rd, 2007 at 6:25 pm
I think most of Paul’s support will come from a) the 25% or so of Republican voters who are against the war; and b) independent voters who can vote in open primaries.
Am I saying that Paul will suddenly jump to 30%+? Absolutely not. But he does have a decent constituency, and if he plays his cards right, he could be quite the player.
just my 2c.
October 3rd, 2007 at 6:25 pm
Also — can’t underestimate this — these numbers are actually huge.
Consider what we’re looking at for our frontrunners: 10 million raised in this quarter. Paul raised half of that.
Hillary raised 21 million. This would be the equivalent of Biden or Dodd raising 10 million dollars.
Also — check Ron Paul’s website. He’s aiming for a 12 million dollar fourth quarter.
I’m beginning to wonder if he might make an impact! I’ve long held to the belief that he could capture 8-10% of the vote in New Hampshire. Now I’m thinking he might be able to get more. The strength of his ground game due to his rabid supporters alone is incredible. I’ve been approached by a Ron Paul supporter in my local Borders — here in Maryland! I’ve had no other experiences of the sort.
Hmm, hmm, hmm…
October 3rd, 2007 at 6:37 pm
Here in Clark County, WA, I saw my first presidential campaign sign and/or sticker in public this week, and it was Paul. That doesn’t count the GOP and Paul booths at the county fair (again, Paul was the only one with a delegation). I’ve also heard of Paul supporters camping out on one of highway overpasses with signs.
On another note – the bigger campaigns are getting their WA organizations in place and started up. WA selects half of its delegates by caucus on Feb 9th, the first caucus/primary after Giga-Tuesday along with LA and WI. If noone comes out the clear victor from that, we’re first up. The other half will be by primary on the 19th.
October 3rd, 2007 at 6:47 pm
Yea, they got a bunch of handpainted signs around here for Ron Paul. It’s actually quite funny. There’s this nutty professor at UTC who always run for town council and always loses, and he’s got some article being posted around the internets.
October 3rd, 2007 at 7:01 pm
yes, one must admit these are good numbers that will keep him in the race.
however, this guy is not presidential and will no way win the nomination. He has all kinds of ‘racist’ baggage that will start popping up all over if he starts to be taken seriously. Apparently he is for liberty, but maybe not for 13 year old black kids. That may be a cheap shot, but nothing has turned me off more about ron paul than these comments that I read that come straight from him newsletter.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-gop/1902088/posts
Ronny has a lot right, but he has no chance of winning the nomination.
October 3rd, 2007 at 7:04 pm
“Hmm, hmm, hmm…”
TLG. I like you and agree with almost everything you say. I support many of your arguments on this blog.
If you only would not be so, so, so wrong on most important issue of our days: disgraceful, civil liberties theft called War on Terror, I could even vote for you.
October 3rd, 2007 at 7:06 pm
Re 29: We hardcore RPers think that, but the libertarian Republicans, or whatever is left of them, might still like Rudy because of his positions on gay marriage, abortion, and in general his seeming apathy towards social zealotry. Once we tell them about Rudy’s Ferret Ban, I think we can convince most of them, except of course you, to support our guy.
October 3rd, 2007 at 7:09 pm
Re 34: You either know or or ignorant of the fact that that wasn’t him writing; it’s called a “ghostwriter.” If you can find a single other piece of Ron Paul’s writing that is even close to that, I’ll admit you have a point. Generally these Imus-like people are repeat offenders.
October 3rd, 2007 at 7:26 pm
Phil M,
I’ve seen more of them, but I don’t buy the accusations in the first place. I don’t think Paul is racist at all, but they’re out there. People are also going to tie Paul to some of his seedier supporters, no matter how unfair it is. Some people are going to see that, and then see that D. Duke and that crew are supporting him, and make up their mind. It’s shallow, but first impressions are sometimes hard to beat when it comes to something as polarizing an issue as racism.
October 3rd, 2007 at 7:47 pm
Since everyone is talking about how the Paul signs are popping up everywhere. I want to let you all know that apparently, some people here in Boise, ID, have run Paul supporters out of the town, since I have not seen any Paul sign since last June or July, whereas, there was once one on every corner of the main streets.
October 3rd, 2007 at 8:04 pm
Ron Paul supporters are buying 25+ signs and bumper stickers each. Even if only 10 people per town did that, the campaign support would seem higher than it actually is. I’ve been getting at least one call per night from his fanatic supporters asking for money – and they don’t want just $20, or the usual $50, they are asking for the $2300 max up front.
October 3rd, 2007 at 8:09 pm
38: Yeah, the Duke thing is creepy. And I once heard him say “happens to be black.” Maybe that’s just a thing 72 year old guys from Texas say, though.
October 3rd, 2007 at 8:41 pm
Phil,
I agree. My own grandfather says some things that I wouldn’t repeat, but that’s the age, and there’s not a hatefful bone is his body towards blacks or anyone else.
October 3rd, 2007 at 9:51 pm
Sure, Huckabee needs more money. But he is also very good at getting free media. Let Romney waste his money on the 30 second clips. Huckabee can have the whole hour:
http://onemom.wordpress.com/2007/10/03/coming-soon-mike-huckabee-for-the-full-hour-on-glenn-beck-tv-show/
October 3rd, 2007 at 9:52 pm
“Rudy people would never go to Paul because part of Rudy’s appeal is his vigorous stance on the War on Terror.”
And, oh, if it wasn’t for that.
If only Ron Paul were more of a hawk with a little exec experience.
*Insert romantic sigh.*
October 3rd, 2007 at 11:43 pm
[...] http://race42008.com/2007/10/03/early-estimates-incorrect-paul-raises-5-million/ [...]