Here is the complete reference guide to the Thompson Social Security Plan.
Senator Fred Thompson today held an honest and straightforward discussion about his proposal to save Social Security for today’s generation of workers and protect America’s seniors by fully preserving their benefits. Sen. Thompson is the only presidential candidate to offer a comprehensive proposal on one of the nation’s most critical domestic issues.
“There’s no reason to run for President of the United States if you can’t tell the American people the truth about complex issues like Social Security,” Thompson said. “As we speak, Congress is raiding the Social Security Trust Fund. If we don’t act soon, the politicians in Washington will either repay those ‘IOUs’ through tax hikes or benefit cuts.
“My plan keeps our promise to America’s seniors by fully protecting their benefits and leaving them unchanged. Younger workers will be given the option of growing their personal wealth for the future and participating in a successful investment program similar to the one enjoyed by Members of Congress,” Thompson added.
Fact: The first Baby Boomer applied for Social Security benefits in October. She is the first of 80 million Boomers to seek the entitlement. The ratio of workers per recipient will fall from 3.3 to 2.1 over the next 24 years, when all Baby Boomers are past of the age of 65. Currently, Americans aged 65 and older account for approximately 12% of the population, but in 2030 they are expected to comprise 20% of the total population.
Goals for Saving Social Security and Protecting America’s Seniors:
Leave Social Security benefits received by current retirees and those near retirement completely unchanged and fully preserve their annual cost of living adjustment. No one now over the age of 57 will be affected. Preserve and strengthen Social Security for future generations of Americans and guarantee the current benefit structure, fully protected for inflation. Increase retirement options for today’s workers – and future generations – by giving them the option when to retire and allowing them to build wealth they can pass on if they so choose. Completely eliminate the estimated $4.7 trillion unfunded Social Security liability over the 75 year actuarial planning horizon and leave Social Security permanently fiscally sustainable. Sen. Thompson’s plan to Save Social Security and Protect Seniors has two primary elements:
1) Provide voluntary personal retirement “add on” accounts to supplement benefits;
2) Index Social Security benefit formula for prices, not wages.This plan would give current workers, who are not already receiving Social Security benefits, the option of making voluntary contributions into personal retirement accounts, similar to a 401(k) plan or the federal government’s Thrift Savings Plan, enjoyed by Congress. Workers would contribute 2% of their monthly wages, which would be matched by the federal government, thereby permitting workers to participate in the expansion of wealth in America.
The plan also calls for indexing Social Security benefits for prices instead of wages. Current law calculates the initial benefit level of Social Security recipients according to the annual increase in wages. By calculating benefits of new beneficiaries according to price inflation, we leave all current beneficiaries and those nearing retirement completely untouched. No one now over the age of 57 will be affected.
“We live in the greatest nation on earth – a free nation with free markets where citizens who play by the rules and work hard can expect to live the American Dream. If they need help in this country they can get help and those that can help themselves are expected to do so. My plan to protect Social Security guarantees promises made to our seniors and gives today’s workers more choice and greater opportunity for their future,” said Thompson.
Keep Reading for the full details of the plan:
Please review these background materials prior to reading the plan.
Chart comparing characteristics of Thompson Plan vs. Today’s Social Security (PDF)
Chart comparing benefits for a $20,000 Earner (PDF)
Chart comparing benefits for a $40,000 Earner (PDF)
Chart comparing benefits for a $60,000 Earner (PDF)
The Plan
Since its inception, Social Security has done a good job of reducing poverty rates among the elderly, reducing them from 35% in 1959 to 9.4% in 2006. The current program, however, is fiscally unsustainable. Social Security actuaries warn that if nothing is done, the Social Security Trust Fund will run out of money around 2041. When that happens, retirees will face an immediate 23 percent cut in their benefits. Or, Congress could change the law and impose a 30% increase in taxes just to sustain the promised benefit level. Without question, therefore, future generations of Americans will not have the same retirement system that current seniors enjoy available to them unless the Social Security program is transformed and saved. Few young workers today have confidence that Social Security will be there for them when they retire.While 2041 sounds as if it is far off, one-third of the people now in their fifties and the great majority of people younger than 50 will be collecting benefits when Social Security runs out of money thirty-four years from now. Fred Thompson believes that we cannot afford to wait, because the longer we do the larger the problem grows. Rather, we need to take action now to save and protect Social Security and put it on a sustainable path for our children and grandchildren. The longer we delay reform of the current system, the more draconian the reforms will have to be.
We still have time to save Social Security, protect it, and provide a more secure retirement for all American workers…if we act now.
Goals for Saving and Protecting Social Security. Fred Thompson’s plan will achieve the following:
- Leave the Social Security benefits received by current and near retireescompletely unchanged and fully preserve their annual Cost of Living Adjustments.
- Preserve and strengthen Social Security for future generations of Americans and guarantee the current level of benefits fully protected for inflation.
- Help build personal wealth in America by expanding the ownership of financial assets to more Americans.
- Increase retirement options for future retirees by giving them the means to decide when to retire and allowing them to build wealth that they can pass on if they so choose.
- Completely eliminate the estimated $4.7 trillion unfunded Social Security liability over the 75 year actuarial planning horizon and leave Social Security on a fiscally sustainable basis.
This plan also will not affect the benefits either of current or near retirees. This plan will not affect the manner in which the annual cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) is calculated for either current or future Social Security recipients. Instead, this plan will actually provide the means and opportunity for current workers to have more money at retirement and more choices on how to use that money than does the current Social Security system.
Plan for Saving and Protecting Social Security. Fred Thompson’s plan has two key elements:
- Provide Voluntary Personal Retirement “Add On” Accounts to Supplement Benefits
- Index the Social Security Benefit Formula for Prices, Not Wages
Each of these key elements is explained in detail below.
I. Provide Voluntary Personal Retirement “Add On” Accounts to Supplement Benefits
As America ages and there are more retirees for each worker, Americans will have to rely on something other than the taxes of current workers and their employers to finance their retirement.In the last sixty years the average return on stocks has been over 7 percent after adjusting for inflation.
Fred Thompson believes that workers should have the option of making contributions to voluntary Personal Retirement Accounts, which will work like a 401(k) plan, and thereby permit all American workers to participate in the expansion of wealth in America. Specifically, he proposes that Social Security establish voluntary Personal Retirement Accounts (PRAs) for which:
- Each worker would automatically contribute 2% of his/her wages into a voluntary Personal Retirement Account.
- This employee contribution would be matched by 2.5 for 1 ($2.50 for every $1 dollar contributed) on the contributions from the first $1000 of wages earned each month. The match would be made from existing contributions.
- All additional contributions would be matched fifty cents on the dollar.
- If a worker does not want to participate in the voluntary PRA, he/she could  “opt out� of the program at the beginning of each year
Under this plan, a worker making $20,000 per year would end the year with a $1080 account: $400 of worker contributions and $680 in matching contributions. A $40,000 worker would end the year with $1680: $800 of worker contributions and $880 in matches. A worker earning $80,000 would accumulate $2880: $1600 in worker contributions and $1280 in matches.
Both the worker’s contribution and the match, at his/her direction, would be invested in stocks and/or bonds through investment mechanisms that work like the federal government’s Thrift Savings Plan or private-sector 401(k) plans that allow workers to choose from a menu of qualified plans. Workers also could select a plan in which the real value of their personal contributions is fully protected against inflation, while the remaining contributions are put in a stock fund that would provide a net “upside” return for them.
Assuming a 5 ½ percent weighted average real return, the $20,000 worker would accumulate more than $180,000 over 45 years; the $40,000 worker would have about $280,000; and the $80,000 worker would have $440,000 — all in inflation adjusted dollars.
This money belongs to the worker. It could be withdrawn at the worker’s discretion after age 62 and used for any purpose, or left in the account to continue growing. If the worker should pass away, it would be inherited by his or her designated beneficiaries.
Voluntary PRA Offset The Personal Retirement Accounts (PRAs) established under this plan give workers more choices once they reach age 62: to retire early with a sizable next egg, or to retire later and continue contributing to their PRAs with a government match. These are options not available under the current system. In order to provide workers who choose to invest in PRAs these choices, while preserving the solvency of the system, their matching contributions would be offset by delaying eligibility for monthly Social Security benefits. Workers who want to retire early, however, could use their personal account to buy an annuity that would more than cover the offset. They could also choose to take minor reductions in the monthly benefits received, just as they can today.
Workers aged 45 to 60 would have a delay in the receipt of their monthly benefits of one month for every year they participated in the system, or they could take a benefit reduction equal to one-half of 1%. Workers under 45 would have a 2-month delay in their eligibility for monthly benefits, or take a 1% reduction in benefits.
The effect of this change on a worker could easily be calculated. A worker earning $40,000 who started participating at age 22 and worked until age 67 would accumulate over $280,000. The offset from monthly benefits would amount to $470 less per month. However, assuming a 5 ½ percent return on the $280,000, this reduction would be more than offset by drawing from the interest earned on the accumulated $280,000 nest egg. This interest income would provide the worker $1283 per month, in addition to his/her monthly benefits. Even then, the retiree would still have the $280,000 principal left over which he or she could spend later in life or leave to heirs.
Contribution to Trust Fund of Extra Tax Revenue Collected on Personal Account Investments Under the Thompson plan, substantial funds would accumulate in the Personal Retirement Accounts of individuals over time. A portion of this capital would represent increased net saving for the American economy and allow U.S. corporations and businesses to increase their invested capital faster than they otherwise would. In turn, this increase would produce a larger economy and higher tax revenue, particularly corporate tax revenue. Following the analysis first proposed by Prof. Martin Feldstein and Andrew Samwick, the Thompson plan would transfer, by law, from the general fund to the Social Security Trust Fund an amount equal to 1% of the Personal Retirement Account balance. This calculation is likely a conservative estimate of the actual increase in the revenue collected by the general fund as a consequence of the creation of the Personal Retirement Accounts.
II. Index the Social Security Benefit Formula for Prices, Not Wages
We must protect current and near retirees’ benefits and preserve the Social Security program for future generations. Current law promises future retirees more benefits than current retirees with the same real income even though they paid the same real amount in taxes. That promise is one the current system cannot keep. Instead, current law effectively requires a 23% across the board reduction in benefits when the Trust Fund runs out of money, an event currently projected to occur in 2041.
The reason for the promised but undeliverable increase in benefits for future retirees is that current law calculates a worker’s initial benefit by a formula that depends on how fast wages grow. After the initial benefit calculation, Social Security benefits are indexed annually to price inflation. This formula leads to the result that two workers with exactly the same real incomes who contributed exactly the same inflation-adjusted amount in payroll taxes will get different benefits, depending on when they retire. For example, a worker who earned an inflation-adjusted $40,000 all his or her life and retired this year would get a benefit of $1493 a month, but a younger worker with exactly the same real income would get an inflation-adjusted benefit of $1676 per month upon retirement in 2047.
We can afford to guarantee all workers the current benefit formula, fully indexed for inflation. But, with a system that is running out of money, we cannot and should not promise to increase benefits that we cannot pay for. The Thompson Plan to Save and Protect Social Security will–
- Leave all current and near beneficiaries completely untouched. No one now over 57 will be affected by this plan at all.
- Maintain the current level of real benefits for future workers
- Not affect the COLA calculation for Social Security benefits now or in the future.
- Ensure the Social Security program does not run out of money
Under the Thompson plan, the Social Security system is balanced actuarially over the 75-year planning period the Social Security actuaries use to determine Social Security’s long-term viability. That means that unlike under current law, the cash flowing into the system will balance the cash flowing out of the system over the next 75 years. Social Security is now running a surplus and is therefore a net lender to the general fund. Under the Thompson Plan, should the Social Security Trust Fund have a deficit, it would temporarily become a borrower from the general fund. It would then be able to fully repay the general fund once it again ran a surplus. In this way the system would be protected from insolvency and retirees would not be forced to take a sudden benefit cut. Moreover, under the Thompson plan, the Social Security system would be running surpluses at the end of the 75-year period, assuring that Social Security will remain permanently solvent.
Summary
We face a choice as a country-either take no action (and ask the American people to swallow dramatic benefit cuts and/or tax increases in the future) or take action now to save and protect Social Security. It is not realistic to compare the current system with any reform plan, because the current system is failing due to the increasing number of retirees and decreasing number of workers that can support them. Rather, the comparison to be made is among competing reform proposals. To date, however, not a single other candidate has come forward with any real proposal to save Social Security, so no comparisons are possible. Fred Thompson has chosen to speak candidly to the American people and act responsibly by presenting them with his plan to fix the problem. The Thompson Save and Protect Social Security plan will preserve real benefits at current levels, give workers a piece of the ownership society if they so choose, and save Social Security for future generations. This is critical to America’s long term Security, Unity, and Prosperity.
November 9th, 2007 at 4:12 pm
The interesting thing is that social security is completly a solveable issue if we act now. if we wait ten years or so, then it will be hard to solve without raising taxes.
I am glad Fred is making it an issue of is campaign. makes me like him. Does he have the leadership to get it done???? That is a big ??? We can’t know that from his senate record. the only thing he seemed to lead there was mccain feingold which was mostly mccain anyway.
I am glad we are the party talking about fixing it though without raising taxes. Kudos to Fred for coming up with a plan even though it is a little late coming
November 9th, 2007 at 4:22 pm
I like that he has a plan, but he doesn’t have the fire to even make it through the primaries.
You have to lite a match to see if his light is on.
November 9th, 2007 at 4:50 pm
If this had been done at the beginning of the program an average retiree would be getting $346 a month in benefits. Instead we adjusted for wages and retirees get four times that amount on average.
November 9th, 2007 at 5:28 pm
I admire Thompson’s desire to present a plan, but some of the specifics of this one skate by the reality he obviously cares about. For example, he really doesn’t address the massive unfunded liability, which needs to be reduced through raising the average retirement age and reducing the guaranteed benefit. I also wonder if he and his people are up to date on one current labor-market phenomenon: defined narrowly, wages are barely keeping up with inflation, if at all. Only if one defines wages as cash compensation plus non-cash benefits, especially but not only health insurance, are wages growing much faster than inflation. If he’s using a narrow definition, changing to prices rather than wages could end up costing the program money, not making it better.
November 9th, 2007 at 7:57 pm
Hats off to Fred, for presenting something that’s better than the status quo.
November 9th, 2007 at 9:30 pm
zzzzzzzzzzzzzz… zzzzzzzzzzzzz… did someone say something?
November 10th, 2007 at 3:50 am
I’m confused as to how the plan funds the matching federal contributions to the voluntary account… and I had the same question as Marksal when I read the bit about fix on wages or inflation – I’ve been under the impression wages haven’t kept pace with inflation.
November 11th, 2007 at 12:10 am
SOME SPECIFIC DETAILS ARE LEFT OUT ??? WHAT IS AN “Add On†ACCOUNT ??? WILL THESE SO CALLED 2% WORKER CONTRIBUTIONS BE CALCULATED ABOVE WHAT IS CURRENTLY ALREADY BEING CONTRIBUTED OUT OF A WORKER’S PAYCHECK INTO THE SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM ??? MEANING ALL WORKERS WILL CONTINUE TO PAY THE CURRENT RATE INTO THE SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM AND IF A WORKER PARTICIPATES IN THIS THOMPSON PROPOSAL THEY SIMPLY ADD 2% MORE OF THEIR WAGES OR IS THE 2% SUBTRACTED FROM THE AMOUNT A WORKER IS ALREADY BEEN CONTRIBUTING INTO THE SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM ???