Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon Florida General Election

11 Responses to “Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon Florida General Election”

1. dubious Says:
   November 19th, 2007 at 2:22 pm

   this is very good news for 08.

2. Bryan Says:
   November 19th, 2007 at 2:26 pm

   Was John McCain not included in this?

3. Paul8148 Says:
   November 19th, 2007 at 2:27 pm

   The Dems are fighting each other down there right now. The Teachers Unions are upset with the DNC because by turning FL into a beauty Contrest they worried No Dems will come out and the Tax Property Reform Admendment is going to by on the Jan 29th ballot, which also helps Rudy since it will drive out more Moderate republicans to the polls.

4. Ray Says:
   November 19th, 2007 at 3:04 pm

   I always said that the Dems will end up messing the 2008 general election for themselves, it will be difficult but our chances are looking better and better. Once we have a GOP nominee things will get really interesting.

5. Matthew E. Miller Says:
   November 19th, 2007 at 3:13 pm

   Finally Florida looks as red as it should. With Crist’s success, and the strength of the Florida Republican Party, it should easily be the reddest “swing state”. These numbers bear that out.

6. sampo Says:
   November 19th, 2007 at 3:25 pm

   this poll is consistent in electability in FL for the 3 (Rudy, Fred, Mitt). However, it is an outlier in from virtually every other poll in terms of the “redness” of FL.

   http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/fl/florida_giuliani_vs_clinton-414.html
   http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/fl/florida_thompson_vs_clinton-421.html
   http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/fl/florida_romney_vs_clinton-423.html

7. sampo Says:
   November 19th, 2007 at 3:26 pm

   this poll is consistent in electability in FL for the 3 (Rudy, Fred, Mitt). However, it is an outlier in from virtually every other poll in terms of the “redness” of FL.

   http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/fl/florida_giuliani_vs_clinton-414.html
   http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/fl/florida_thompson_vs_clinton-421.html
   http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/fl/florida_romney_vs_clinton-423.html

8. sampo Says:
   November 19th, 2007 at 3:27 pm

   as red as it should

   What?! Is it mathematically possible for FL to be more purple?

9. Colin Jones Says:
   November 19th, 2007 at 3:34 pm

   Looking at the RCP graph, Rudy has reached a new high in FL primary numbers.

10. Matthew E. Miller Says:
    November 19th, 2007 at 3:52 pm

    sampo,

    Crist won by 10% after allegations that he was a homosexual, in the midst of the Foley scandal, and in a deeply blue year. The Florida Democratic Party gained a grand total of about 2 seats, in a year where virtually every non-deep South state saw double digit Democratic gains. Add to this a still very popular Jeb Bush, and W’s widened 5 point victory in 2004, and yes, I’d say that Florida is red; as red as any state that Bush won by 5 or fewer points in 2004. Perhaps as red as any state he won by 10 or fewer points. If we lose Florida, even against New Yorker Hillary Clinton, then we shouldn’t bother looking at the rest of the map. Because, we’ve just been railroaded, across the board.

11. Shawnie Says:
    November 19th, 2007 at 6:53 pm

    All the republicans are doing better than Shillary?