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Without airing a single TV ad, Huckabee has apparently established a small lead in South Carolina. There is not a lot of great polling done in the Palmetto State, but Mason-Dixon does do regular surveys there, including in non-presidential contests.
They now have Huckabee up over Rudy, 20-17. Romney takes 15, Fred 14 and McCain 10.
Romney has been up with a steady TV buy since Labor Day and Fred has been on the air and a regular visitor to the state in recent weeks.
But in the face of Big Mo, it just doesn’t mean as much.
Yes, the race is stll tight and there are a few bunched up at the top. And, yes, the margin of error is at 5 percent. But Huckabee’s rise out of nowhere in South Carolina (basically from fifth to first) says much about just how hot of an item he is right now and how Christian conservatives seem to have finally found their man.
The Bottom Line with SC is this…Whoever wins Iowa probably has the inside track to winning SC…
December 9th, 2007 at 1:14 pm
“Whoever wins Iowa probably has the inside track to winning SC”
Reagan was beaten in Iowa then won New Hampshire, won South Carolina, won the nomination, won the presidency, won the reelection..
Iowa is not the center of the universe folks. It’s just a place where they grow a lot of corn. Ask Pat Robertson how close his win there got him to the presidency.
December 9th, 2007 at 7:49 pm
But Rett is probably right, in that Mike & mitt duking it out in Iowa will probably knock one of them out. Assuming most of the voters coalesce around the other means the winner will have 35% of the SC vote before going to NH.
In the context of the above results, thats enough easy. Particularly if the winner then takes out NH.