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After launching at least seven television ads and multiple radio ads in the state and watching his poll numbers continue to drop anyways, Rudy Giuliani has now “deeply cut” his ad buys in New Hampshire.
Rudy is all but giving up on the early states now. His campaign more or less confirmed the strategy when they said cutting back in NH will allow the Giuliani campaign “to marshal our resources for Florida and February 5th…”
With Giuliani out of New Hampshire now, does his support drop even further? Does it go to McCain, giving him a shot against Romney? And for Rudy, is this the best political strategy ever devised or the worst miscalculation in recent primary history?
December 17th, 2007 at 4:19 pm
A #3 finish in Iowa and #2 in New Hampshire is possible, but Rudy had to be willing to fight for it. He’s not. If name recognition can’t get him the nomination, by golly, he’s going to ensure that nothing will.
December 17th, 2007 at 4:20 pm
He didn’t cut any ads in NH… WMUR… he cut Boston TV buys that are very expensive and not getthing him anywhere… IMO good move
He was in NH today, back on Friday…
December 17th, 2007 at 4:21 pm
“And for Rudy, is this the best political strategy ever devised or the worst miscalculation in recent primary history?”
Hmm. Only time will tell but I’d guess it’s the latter. Do Rudy’s NH supporters still vote for him or go for their second choice? Who is their second choice?
December 17th, 2007 at 4:29 pm
retreat!!!! retreat!! we can’t win ames, retreat! we can’t win iowa, retreat!! now we can’t win new hampshire, retreat!! If he keeps retreating someobody is going to win before he takes his stand.
metro, must be eating his words right now after all the, rudyis holding back, once everybody gets to kw who he is and what he did, his numbers will shoot up!
Everybody already knows everytyhign about rudy. that is why he was an instant national frontrunner. it was capped though. all were informed on him and made their decision. those like huck and romney have hte luxury of still expandig their base of support.
romney’s ads have a magic touch. everywhere he has run them he has surged into frotn or at least in contest. with a boatload of money and ads liek this as well as a depe organization that goes all the way to february 5th, he is a force to be reckoned with.
rudy can keep running, but eventually he is going to have to take on his wekanesses and tyr and overcome them. I think he realizes he can’t and is doing his only option he has left.
he better hope that rasmussen florida poll was aon outlier or he is finito.
December 17th, 2007 at 4:31 pm
romney has a high second choice of nh voters. his internal numbers hav improved greatly over the past few weaks. 60 percent of his supporters are also ‘certain’ they will vote for him.
December 17th, 2007 at 4:31 pm
just out romney catches huckabee in south carolina.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/south_carolina/election_2008_south_carolina_republican_primary
December 17th, 2007 at 4:34 pm
interesting:
“Among those who say a candidate’s faith and religion is Very Important, Huckabee leads Romney 36% to 14%. Among those who say it is Somewhat Important, Romney has a five point advantage, 26% to 21%. Among the third of South Carolina’s Likely Primary voters to whom a candidate’s faith and religion is not important, Huckabee earns just 10% support. Romney attracts support from 29% of these voters. ”
looks like Huck really is God’s candidate and Mitt is simply a heathen who less God fearing people like. so who is more viable in a general election? if huck can’t prove he can appeal to more than the God vote, we shouldnt’ support him.
sorry for the threat highjack. i will refrain from anymore on this.
December 17th, 2007 at 4:36 pm
wow, that SC news is so goooooooooooooooooood!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
December 17th, 2007 at 4:38 pm
Is it possible that Rudy wishes to pave the way for a McCain win, helping break up the early states victories?
December 17th, 2007 at 4:40 pm
Is Rudy running out of money?
Anyway, I’d cut Rudy’s chances for the nomination now to less than 15%. His later states (including New York) are absolutely disintegrating, and he has now guaranteed the poor early finishes that will seal his fate.
I feel much better now.
December 17th, 2007 at 4:45 pm
Power Rankings should be:
1. Huckabee
2. Romney
3. Guiliani
4. McCain
5. Thompson
December 17th, 2007 at 4:45 pm
[...] in New Hampshire at winning votes away from Mitt Romney is changing his focus to Florida. Hat tip race42008.com. Huckabee has a comfortable lead in Iowa; Romney has held his lead in New Hampshire since October; [...]
December 17th, 2007 at 4:47 pm
If the power rankings are meant to be an indication of the race at the present time, I agree with MWS on his top 5.
But I think the rankings are actually a muddle of current strength, future potential, and extra love for Rudy.
December 17th, 2007 at 4:50 pm
my power rankings would look like this
1. giuliani, romney, huckabee.
2. fred and mccain.
3. everybody else.
December 17th, 2007 at 4:50 pm
for heavens sake, huck is leading everywhere basically but new hampshire. he is basically tied in the national rcp averages with rudy and beating rudy in florida. so how can the rankings be justified as they are?
December 17th, 2007 at 5:01 pm
Rudy, nut up and run the Dumond video in FL. Save us from Huck. Run the video before Hillary does next fall.
December 17th, 2007 at 5:06 pm
First, the McCain-Implosion….
Then, the Fred-Fizzle….
Now the Huck-A-Bust….
And?? the Rudy-Retreat!!
It couldn’t be!!!?!!!!
December 17th, 2007 at 5:08 pm
16
Better to let Mitt bleed a little before unleashing the Crime/Taxes/Soft Foreign Policy barrage on Huck. The problem with going on the attack against one of the other candidates now is that it would just lead to a push-back from all of the other nine; that is, if Giuliani goes after Huck on crime, somebody like Thompson will try to kick Rudy in the back in order to get a shot in at both of them. Direct attacks work better once the field has thinned a bit.
December 17th, 2007 at 5:29 pm
I’ve posted this elsewhere, but it bears repeating:
I have found it interesting that one of the big things that Giuliani supporters push is that Rudy does not run from a challenge. He is the one to keep America safe from the jihadists. Yet over and over again we see him retreating from a contest he isn’t expected to win, while Romney toughs it out and (usually) ultimately triumphs.
December 17th, 2007 at 6:48 pm
For the record, I predicted this back when Rudy skipped Ames.
December 17th, 2007 at 8:18 pm
Iowa #2 – that was the most ridiculous comment you have made so far on here. Way to spin it for your guy who’s dropping like a brick in the polls. Everyone in NH watches the BOSTON stations. WMUR is the only NH station and it’s an ABC affiliate that competes with a Boston ABC affiliate. By cutting his Boston ads he is cutting NH.
Get a clue!