December 22, 2007

Spinning for Rudy?

Just look at the numbers.

Ramesh Ponnuru responded Friday to my piece on Rudolph W. Giuliani and the Religious Right by accusing me of performing “spin for the mayor.” My dreidel impersonation, Ramesh wrote, includes “cherry-picking” data to advance my arguments.

It hardly is “cherry-picking” to analyze Giuliani’s abortion record by documenting the decreases during his tenure in New York City’s total abortions, its abortion ratio (abortions per 1,000 live births), local-taxpayer-financed Medicaid abortions, and local-Medicaid-abortion spending. I suppose it also would be “cherry-picking” to invoke GDP growth, the unemployment rate, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, and rising tax revenues to prove that President Bush’s tax cuts are working.

Ramesh complained that I failed to tell readers that abortions “remained extremely high…”

Yes, abortions remained extremely high in New York City, a liberal metropolis that some have dubbed America’s abortion capitol. In this environment, it is incredibly unfair to flog Giuliani because abortions dropped “just” 17 percent on his watch, while America managed only a 13 percent simultaneous decline in abortions. Even more impressive, Medicaid abortions tumbled 23 percent. (Because the 1976 Hyde Amendment prohibits nearly all federal abortion spending, no equivalent federal datum exists.) So, apparently scorn is the appropriate reaction to a nearly one-quarter cut in taxpayer-funded abortions.

Damn you, Rudy! Why didn’t you slash Medicaid abortions by 50 percent?

What’s important is that these numbers not only did not rise; they fell significantly, and much more than they did nationally. If Rudy really were the pom-pom-waving abortion monger his critics claim he is (”Gotham, Gotham, Sis-Boom-Bah…Get an abortion, Rah-Rah-Rah!”), abortions should have increased during his term, or at least not slid more quickly than they did from sea to shining sea.

Ramesh also posited that I did not mention that under Giuliani, abortions in New York City “declined less than the statewide average.”

Here are the facts: Between 1993 and 2001, abortions waned 26.9 percent in New York State, excluding the five boroughs; 20.1 percent in New York State overall (including Gotham); and 16.9 percent in New York City.

Giuliani was mayor of New York City, not governor of New York State. Thus, he should be judged according to data relevant to his jurisdiction. Still, these figures are no surprise. Syracuse tends to be more socially conservative than the socially liberal South Bronx. Upstate abortion figures naturally reflect a generally more pro-life culture north of Yonkers, just as Illinois’ incidence of abortion most likely decreases the further one drives south of Chicago.

That said, between 1993 and 2001, taxpayer-funded Medicaid abortions in upstate New York slipped 21.7 percent, slid 22.6 percent statewide, and sank 22.9 percent in New York City. So, when it came to government-subsidized abortions, Gotham was more pro-life during Giuliani Time than was the rest of the Empire State.

Speaking of cherry-picking, Ramesh scoured the website of Social Conservatives for Rudy (which I cited), located its list of Rudy-friendly public officials, selected Rep. Judy Biggert (R., Ill.), then highlighted a few of her anti-life votes, presumably to associate Giuliani with several dreadful public policies. This is like picking one cherry from atop a tree, peeling it, and triumphantly waving its pit in the air.

Without such acrobatics, here are a dozen members of Congress who have endorsed Giuliani, not just praised him, along with their National Right to Life Committee ratings for the 109th Congress:

Rep. Charles Boustany (R., La.) - NRLC rating: 100 percent

Rep. Phil English (R., Pa.) - NRLC rating: 100 percent

Rep. Peter King (R., N.Y.) - NRLC rating: 100 percent

Rep. Frank LoBiondo (R., N.J.) - NRLC rating: 100 percent

Rep. Candice Miller (R., Mich.) - NRLC rating: 100 percent

Rep. Devin Nunes (R., Calif.) - NRLC rating: 100 percent

Rep. George Radanovich (R., Calif.) - NRLC rating: 100 percent

Rep. Ed Royce (R-CA) - NRLC rating: 100 percent

Rep. Pete Sessions (R-TX) - NRLC rating: 100 percent

Sen. David Vitter (R-LA) - NRLC rating: 100 percent

Rep. Jim Walsh (R-NY) - NRLC rating: 100 percent

Rep. Jerry Weller (R-IL) - NRLC rating: 100 percent

Among Giuliani’s nine other congressional endorsers, five enjoy 82 ratings, three range between 70 and 44, while one (Biggert) earns a mere 9. However, Rudy’s congressional team averages an 84 NRLC rating. This is not a bad collective score for those on Capitol Hill who support a man smeared by his adversaries as “Mr. Abortion.” (For details click here.)

These members of Congress grasp what seems to escape Ramesh and other Rudy foes: Giuliani is no social liberal. The impressive abortion reductions during his mayoralty should be counted among the socially conservative advances that Giuliani either engineered or witnessed on his watch. (Adoption hikes, crime cuts, welfare reform, charter schools, and racial-quota elimination were among many others he enacted.) Were Giuliani as energetically pro-choice as his detractors claim, he would have presided over smaller - or even nonexistent - declines in abortion.

Finally, independent of Ramesh Ponnuru’s comments, any third-party bid by pro-lifers if Giuliani were nominated almost certainly would catapult today’s Democratic frontrunner into the Oval Office. That would empower Mrs. William Jefferson Clinton to pursue a proudly pro-abortion agenda, which would increase, not decrease, the number of fetuses killed in America. If that, bafflingly, is what some Religious Right activists would consider a pro-life triumph, the sun rises in the west, Niagara Falls flows upstream, and I have long, blond hair.

____________________________________________________________________________________

This article was originally published in the National Review Online on October 15th, 2007. It is reprinted here with the author’s permission.

by @ 1:42 pm. Filed under Deroy Murdock, Rudy Giuliani
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14 Responses to “Spinning for Rudy?”

  1. econ grad stud Says:

    Would Rudy nominate an anti-Roe SC justice.

    You don’t know and I don’t. He’s pro-choice and he’s made clear strict constructionist has nothing to do with abortion in his mind.

    I’d rather have a chance to morally redeem America than give up and have two parties that have no concern for the most important human rights issue.

    If Republicans nominate Rudy, it means that Republicans have lost any moral advantage over Democrats.

  2. ThatLibertarianGuy Says:

    egs — Reagan and Bush I each gave us a pro-Roe justice, you know. People often forget that.

  3. BarkTwiggs Says:

    Pro-life by association doesn’t work as well as the guilt by association argument. When you show me a dozen congressmen with excellent pro-life cred supporting Rudy, I see a dozen pragmatists who are overlooking Rudy’s positions on the issue for the promise of a supposedly good general election candidate.

  4. ThatLibertarianGuy Says:

    Wouldn’t want to be pragmatic!

  5. SDGOP Says:

    Anytime i see an article by Deroy i just assume its nothing more than a shameless propoganda piece that isn’t worth me wasting my life over. Deroy Murdock is to Rudy what Hugh Hewitt is to Romney. Such blatant shills that they turn off anyone who doesn’t support their guy and even turn people off who do support them.

  6. MarkG Says:

    No SC nominee promising to strike down Roe would make it past Democratic senatorial demagoguery.

  7. econ grad stud Says:

    TLG, that’s why I wouldn’t tolerate someone as pro-abortion as Rudy. If Bush 1 and Reagan each performed medoicre on abortion, I doubt Rudy would be worth my trip to the polling station.

    I’d rather just have Democrats rule if Republicans decide to violate human rights also.

  8. econ grad stud Says:

    MarkG, we know that Rudy wouldn’t put any thought into how a SC nominee would rule on Roe. Rudy just doesn’t care about human rights.

    I’d rather not have him as our elected dictator for 8 years.

  9. Irish Right Says:

    Deroy and Rudy are touting Vitter’s endorsement? Strange.

    And, SDGOP, you’re right about Deroy is to Rudy as Hugh is to Mitt. Hugh even makes me cringe, at times.

  10. MarkG Says:

    EGS, you’ve already pointed out that you’re vehemently anti-Rudy. So I suppose we’ll never see eye-to-eye on the guy.

    Still, if a Dem becomes president, we’re certain to see court nominees who are willing to hold the line on or expand Roe. Of that much I’m certain.

    Rudy has said he would strive to reduce abortions and increase adoptions. Abortion abolitionism will not stand a chance no matter who is elected president this cycle.

    Some time ago I thought you proposed a cogent medium- to long-range strategy for reducing the acceptance of abortion and restricting it to extreme circumstances. That would seem to be a more promising approach than electing a democrat.

  11. JA Pruce Says:

    Just as it took Nixon to go to China, Mayor Giuliani just might prove to be the most Pro-life President ever. I believe that any Republican that gets inaugurated in 2009 will likely see the overturning of Roe during his Presidency. Rudy might just embrace it and become a strong leader on the issue allowing for the culmination of his recent faith walk and evolution on social issues. I just hope that his health does not become a problem. I am hearing that he is very stressed out with all the attention of Gov. Romney, Sen. Thompson and the Huck, and he fears that he may be becoming irrelevant and it seems to be starting to effect his health.

  12. Big S Says:

    egs,

    Like Reagan, Bush, and Bush, Rudy will have no “litmus test” on any specific case. He’s said as much, and it’s a perfectly reasonable stance, since a good judge will wait to hear the specifics of a case before settling on an opinion. However, if you really want to get an idea of what kind of judged Rudy would appoint, look at his “justice advisory committee”, which includes a lot of distinguished legal scholars who come up often in discussions about future supreme court and circuit court appointments.

  13. econ grad stud Says:

    Yeah, MarkG. I’ve got nothing against people who could vote for Rudy. It’s just something I’m not able to do morally.

    If Rudy was the nominee I’d stop paying attention to politics and redirect that time to graduate research. I’d probably be better off because it would cure me of my interest in politics.

  14. Blogs For Rudy Giuliani’s Victory » race42008.com » Blog Archive » Spinning for Rudy? Says:

    [...] race42008.com » Blog Archive » Spinning for Rudy? [...]

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