January 13, 2008

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Daily Tracker (1/13)

Rasmussen GOP Daily Tracking (1/13)

  • John McCain 24% (24%)
  • Mike Huckabee 19% (19%)
  • Mitt Romney 14% (16%)
  • Fred Thompson 12% (13%)
  • Rudy Giuliani 10% (9%)
  • Ron Paul 2% (4%)

This survey includes approximately 600-650 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

A few interesting notes:

  1. Huckabee is keeping his base of ~20% even with Rush and the others slamming him.
  2. Romney keeps oscillating between 14 and 20%, with him on a definite downward swing now.
  3. Paul has dropped below 4% for first time in several months.
by @ 4:40 pm. Filed under Poll Watch
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11 Responses to “Poll Watch: Rasmussen Daily Tracker (1/13)”

  1. Gamecock Says:

    So, only Thompson and McCain’s numbers went up.

  2. Brett Passmore Says:

    Only one went up ..
    McCain = no change
    Mike = no change
    Mitt = -2
    Fred = -1
    Rudy = +1
    Ron = -2

  3. Axel G. (independent) Says:

    A Romney win in MI would boost him and lower McCain. McCain got booed at an event over immigration so there are still voters who remembers his betrayal on that issue. Giuliani is on life support and I doubt he survives until Florida.

  4. Patrick Says:

    Hmm…

  5. Illinoisguy Says:

    This doesn’t matter much right now. Michigan is huge!

  6. Paul8148 Says:

    http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/

    Catholic Voter alert is back.

  7. civic virtue, the sunday edition Says:

    “Michigan is huge!”

    Only if you try to walk it. I think Texas is bigger. Alaska too.

    All Michigan will decide is how long Romney will persist. If he takes MI he may limp along until the convention, and a brokered convention is at this point Romney’s only chance. If he loses it the pressure from the media etc. may become too great for even an ego the size of Romney’s to bear.

    Wouldn’t it be ironic if blue-collar MI were to decide for an equity sector candidate, Romney, when the equity sector has been responsible for liquidating so many jobs in MI by exporting them overseas etc.?

    Go Mitt!

  8. ElectionNightHQ.com (McCain site) Publisher Says:

    Hello, all-

    Obviously, victories are what produce leads in national primary polls. As we know, McCain and Huck would not be atop this poll, w/o their respective wins in Iowa and NH. Should other candidates win, in Michigan, SC, and Florida, I would anticipate that those candidates would receive a considerable bounce…

  9. John Galt Says:

    what the crap is going on with rudy?

  10. MarkG Says:

    what the crap is going on with rudy?

    Think of it as the “snake-in-the-grass” strategy. :-/

  11. Jess @ Making Home Says:

    Rudy’s numbers are laughable, and I’m wondering what’s happening with the Paul numbers?

    Has anyone here heard anything about Paul running as an Indie? I know he’s said he won’t, but then 2 weeks ago, he kind of hemmed and hawed about answering that question and said, “everyone deserves some wiggle room”. He could really screw up the race for everybody. He’s not just a rightie… he’d take some serious hardcore Dem votes from the left as well (from all the fringe groups).

    So, anyone heard anything about that?

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