Seriously, I can’t describe how good this analysis is. I mean that in the literal sense, of course, because it is so far down in the weeds that I couldn’t call BS on it if its conclusion was that Obama was going to carry Texas over McCain by 50 points. But it certainly is interesting.
Go ye and read of it if you really want to get into the nitty-gritty of how the TX primary is likely to shake out.
February 25th, 2008 at 2:27 pm
The interesting thing is his conclusion that Hillary will win the popular vote, but that Obama will win the delegate race.
In the short term, I think the popular vote win is more important to Hillary, because she needs to stop Obama’s momentum, but in the longer term, those few extra delegates could be decisive.
February 25th, 2008 at 4:29 pm
Sean-
Outstanding find. (I mean, really, really good stuff on that site.) The analysis is so detailed that I wholeheartedly concur with your conclusion that you wouldn’t disbelieve it, “even if its conclusion was that Obama was going to carry Texas over McCain by 50 points.”
Where did you find this site?
February 25th, 2008 at 4:48 pm
I really can’t recall. Slow day in the office.
February 25th, 2008 at 7:22 pm
Imagine if this guy could put that math power toward figuring out how to pay for all the wonderful things Obama/HRC are promising?
February 25th, 2008 at 11:34 pm
Given that at other points on the blog he’s all excited about Tom Udall — one of Dennis Kucinich’s co-sponsors of the department of peace — becoming a Senator, I’m going to guess that he’s got it all figured out.