GOP Nominee
Former Candidates
A new Insider Advantage poll shows Barack pulling within two points of Hillary in Pennsylvania, 45-43. InsiderAdvantage headlined the release “Clinton campaign on life support”.
And a new Strategic Vision poll shows Hillary’s lead of 18 points less than a month ago collapsing down to 8 points now, 49-41.
Citing these polls and the other ones we highlighted here at R4′08 yesterday, CQ now says “It’s a Race in Pennsylvania“.
April 3rd, 2008 at 4:14 pm
Well, considering Obama just spent 5-6 days on a bus tour in the state, got the Sen Casey endorsement, and is outspending her and out advertising her by the nature of 4 or 5 to 1`, it’s not too unsurprising that the polls have tightened.
That said, there’s still a few weeks to go, there’s a debate, and a lot of things can happen.
I still think she’ll end up winning by somewhere from 7-13 points.
Whether that will be enough to continue, who knows?
I suspect a strong win in PA would probably lead to a win in IN and she will most likely win big in WV and KY which should set her up nicely for a big win in Puerto Rico.
For our sake we should hope she wins and keeps the race going for another 2 months.
April 3rd, 2008 at 5:56 pm
This shouldn’t surprise anybody. Hillary won early on the basis of the inevitability mantra. Obama is winning on it late. The only way Hillary can win the nomination is by creating a level of destsruction that will terminate the party’s chances in November….and that is exactly what she is trying to do. I wish her well in her noble quest, but nothing can help her at this point.
April 3rd, 2008 at 6:19 pm
Any word on McCain fundraising for March? I heard that they will be “competitive,” but he had the whole month to himself so I am guessing he will come in at around $30 million.
April 3rd, 2008 at 6:20 pm
Didn’t we hear this same story right before Ohio and Texas? That Clinton was on life support? Having said that, I think it will be very hard for her to get this nomination. However, I think she does at least win Pennsylvania, though I don’t know what the margin is. I wonder if the Casey endorsement is eroding her lead at all. Ironically, the type of people who went for Casey in the 2002 Gubernatorial primary would probably be more Hillary-inclined while Rendell voters would be Obama’s base.
April 3rd, 2008 at 6:21 pm
Pablo, if McCain is averse to picking Romney, do you know of any other wealthy Republicans McCain could take who could help self-fund the campaign?
April 3rd, 2008 at 8:24 pm
Clarence,
A VP can’t self-fund the campaign and is limited like any other contributor (because its considered the campaign of the presidential candidate to which the VP is contributing). I heard today (I think on CNN) that McCain is now looking again at doing public financing.