The Candidates
- John McCain 45% (47%)
- Barack Obama 44% (40%)
- Hillary Clinton 50% (42%)
- John McCain 43% (47%)
Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)
- John McCain 53% / 45% (+8%)
- Hillary Clinton 53% / 46% (+7%)
- Barack Obama 47% / 52% (-5%)
Survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted May 15. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 8 are in parentheses.
May 19th, 2008 at 11:12 am
Not quite what I expected, hopefully, the Undecideds will swing to the GOP. At least Mr. McCain is still in the game
May 19th, 2008 at 11:16 am
Interesting, could Ohio be slipping away?
May 19th, 2008 at 11:17 am
At least we can take comfort in the +6 favorable rating over BO. I have to suspect a fair # of undecideds are leaning McCain
May 19th, 2008 at 11:36 am
I just don’t buy it. Rasmussen isn’t pushing undecideds enough.
May 19th, 2008 at 11:47 am
Adam, 45 vs 44 leaves only 11% for undecided and other, and it’s months away from the election.
This is disturbing.
May 19th, 2008 at 11:50 am
Metro,
I’m not pretending that it’s good. I just don’t think that most of those who are “undecided” are going to “decide” for Obama. But who the hell knows? This has been one long nightmare since 2005.
May 19th, 2008 at 11:55 am
It is not a comfortable lead, but as a Purple State, Ohio will most likely be close in any event. It could be another cliff-hanger.
May 19th, 2008 at 12:01 pm
Ok, this is by no means “good” news, but it also isn’t bad. Sen Obama will be the nominee, and has a penchant for completely underperforming the polls, especially in places like OH and PA. IF things remained fairly close to this, I would expect to see something like a 52-47 victory on election night. Much closer than I’d like, but a win is a win.
May 19th, 2008 at 12:31 pm
Once again McCain has the most room to grow (or more room) than Obama does.
May 19th, 2008 at 12:48 pm
We dodged a bullet with Hillary. Really.
May 19th, 2008 at 1:26 pm
Obama can’t win.
Even with his 50,000 person strong crowds, he can’t beat John McCain in Ohio.
McCain will win Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Florida, and New Hampshire. He will win the Electoral College, regardless of what happens with the popular vote.
Just wait.
May 19th, 2008 at 2:25 pm
DaveG, don’t get so excited. I think calling MI for Sen McCain is premature at best, considering that he was honest with them and said that the jobs they wanted were never coming back. Never mind that he wanted to encourage NEW job growth, or a NEW economic approach for them that would outdo the past. No, they only see that he doesn’t believe that their OUTDATED economy, which has faded for competitive reasons, will ever come back (it won’t, much like the horse and buggy trade isn’t booming today). They will look at the two, and will choose Sen Obama by a razor-thin 47-46%, with independent campaigns taking a large amount of votes from each side.
May 19th, 2008 at 3:57 pm
But the thing with Michigan is that we can win the white house without it, I dont think the dems can. If Michigan goes red, then WI probably does as well.