Rasmussen Oregon Presidential Election

• Barack Obama 46% (52%)
• John McCain 38% (38%)

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• Barack Obama 55% / 43% (+12%)
• John McCain 50% / 47% (+3%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted June 11. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 7 are in parentheses.

Obama’s favorability rating also has fallen in the past month – from 61% in May to 55% now. Thirty-two percent (32%) rate their view of him now as Very Favorable, about the same as last month, with 28% Very Unfavorable, an increase of five percent (5%) over May.

McCain’s overall favorables have dropped slightly, too, from 52% last month to 50% now. But 15% now rate their view of him as Very Favorable (up 3 points from May) and 18% Very Unfavorable (down 3 points).

Obama has a sizable edge among women voters who prefer him to McCain 49% to 38%, with six percent (6%) favoring a third-party candidate and the same number undecided. Male voters are more ambivalent, giving Obama a smaller 43% to 38% edge, with 12% preferring another candidate and eight percent (8%) undecided.

McCain now has the support of 76% of Oregon Republicans, up eight points from last month. Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Democrats back Obama, little changed from May.

McCain leads Obama among middle income voters while Obama has sizable leads over his Republican opponent among those at both the upper and lower end of the scale. Those making $40,000-$60,000 a year who give McCain a 45% to 40% edge and voters earning $60,000-$75,000 per year who choose McCain 57% to 35%.

Oregon voters by a 65% to 28% margin reject the idea that McCain is too old to be president.

Interestingly, despite his overall lead in the state, Obama is viewed as too inexperienced to be president by 41% of voters while 48% disagree.