June 19, 2008
SurveyUSA Iowa General Election Poll (Veepstakes Edition)
SurveyUSA Iowa General Election Poll, conducted June 13th-16th, 2008
- Barack Obama 49%
- John McCain 45%
528 Likely Voters. Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%
Only McCain/Bloomberg wins the red state of Iowa:
http://race42008.com/2008/06/19/surveyusa-iowa-general-election-poll-veepstakes-edition/trackback/
June 19th, 2008 at 9:01 pm
Wonder why they did not test McCain-Huckabee (since Huck won the caucuses in Iowa), or McCain-Romney (since Mitt was the prohibitive favorite there until the rise of Huck).
June 19th, 2008 at 9:10 pm
This poll has McCain winning the black vote against Obama. A result like that really has to call into question SUSA’s whole operation.
June 19th, 2008 at 9:13 pm
#2 Jim: I know, but SUSA’s internals during the primaries were all screwy too, yet the topline results were very, very accurate. Don’t ask me how that’s possible.
June 19th, 2008 at 9:17 pm
This is about where Bush was at in the summers of 2000 and 2004. Things are not looking so bad for McCain. I am getting the impression that McCain might get to 270 EV at 47% of the vote.
June 19th, 2008 at 9:20 pm
Throwing Bloomberg against a bunch of no names means absolutely nothing! This stupid survey is useless.
June 19th, 2008 at 9:57 pm
They didn’t match up McCain/Bloomberg against Obama/Bloomberg.
June 19th, 2008 at 10:09 pm
4 is correct McCain only needs about 47.5% of the vote.
He may fall just short though.
Imagine is Obams wins 52 v 48 and loses!! That would be so funny – but may also start riots.
June 19th, 2008 at 10:09 pm
4 is correct McCain only needs about 47.5% of the vote.
He may fall just short though.
Imagine if Obams wins 52 v 48 and loses!! That would be so funny – but may also start riots.
June 19th, 2008 at 10:09 pm
Who on earth is Fiorina? Get some real Veep possibilities on there!
June 19th, 2008 at 10:31 pm
Interesting that Bloomberg is a net positive. I didn’t realise he had that high name recognition in IOWA. Also interesting that Webb is helpful.
Obama definitely starts as favorite for Iowa.
June 19th, 2008 at 10:42 pm
[...] IOWA: SurveyUSA says Obama/Webb is the strongest Democratic ticket; McCain/Bloomberg is the best GOP one [Race 4 2008] [...]
June 20th, 2008 at 8:47 am
AAs make up 2% of the sample. That gives an error margin of roughly +/-28%.
June 20th, 2008 at 11:35 am
This chart is just completely dumb-ass stupid and a waste of time…every time.
June 20th, 2008 at 12:36 pm
Looks like Bloomberg is trying to put to rest the prospect of him becoming a VP:
The Democrat-turned-Republican-turned-independent also repeatedly praised Obama and presumptive Republican presidential nominee John McCain but said he hasn’t decided which will get his vote and endorsement. He also said he doesn’t expect either of them to tap him as a vice presidential running mate and signaled that he wouldn’t want the No. 2 job in the White House anyway.
In explaining why he isn’t likely to accept an offer to be vice president, Bloomberg said, answering an audience member’s question, that he hasn’t “worked for anybody for 27 years” and that he considers himself, at 65, “a little old to start at this point.”
The former Wall Street financier who runs a large financial news services company also said he wouldn’t really want to work in an administration as a Cabinet secretary or diplomat because it’s the president who calls the shots.
“Nobody’s going to call somebody they can’t control,” Bloomberg said. “that’s just the real world.”