The Candidates
Rasmussen Reports Daily General Election Tracking Poll
- Barack Obama 45%
- John McCain 41%
With Leaners
- Barack Obama 48%
- John McCain 44%
Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 1,000 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The margin of sampling error—for the full sample of 3,000 Likely Voters–is +/- 2 percentage points.
July 9th, 2008 at 10:18 am
2008 RNC Convention plans already in flux. Bush to now address convention on Monday evening, McCain to arrive Tuesday:
http://www.usnews.com/articles/news/campaign-2008/2008/07/08/gop-convention-planners-want-bush-out-of-the-picture.html
July 9th, 2008 at 10:23 am
Look for the RCP average to close to 4 pts or so once that ridiculous Bloomberg poll is phased out.
July 9th, 2008 at 10:32 am
#2 - Maybe, but that will only be temporary beause you know damn well that CBS/NYT and AP/Ipsos can’t wait to chime in to shape public opinion for their guy with Democrat-heavy sample sizes in their polls.
July 9th, 2008 at 10:40 am
The closing of this gap looks like an actual shift, and not due to just one poll. I don’t think it will move much (if any) closer tomorrow, but that definitely shows some ground being made by Sen McCain.
July 9th, 2008 at 10:42 am
It is certainly getting close.
July 9th, 2008 at 10:53 am
It moved, it moved, it moved!!!
This thing hadn’t moved in forever, it felt like
July 9th, 2008 at 11:07 am
#2-David is correct, if you take out those two polls from last month (Times and Newsweek), this is within the margin of error.
July 9th, 2008 at 11:31 am
New Rasmussen for Missouri.
McCain leads by 5 points, 50-45.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/missouri/election_2008_missouri_presidential_election
July 9th, 2008 at 11:45 am
If you would look around at some of the dem sites you would find that many of Obama’s Kool-aid drinkers are coming out of their brain-washed state and are very disallusioned with their “above-the-fray” candidate, Barack Obama. It’s pretty encouraging.
July 9th, 2008 at 1:02 pm
The problem sad to say is Bush. As I look on this site more and more has anyone asked the questioned. Why isn’t there a picture of the current president on this site? Why? Hum. The polls are going back and forth but what has been consistent is Obama 44-49 and McCain 40-45. When there is a shift a point here or there goes to Obama or McCain and minus a point or two goes to Obama or McCain. The biggest shift is that the points go back to the undecided, none of the above, will not vote or to Nadar or Barr. Even Hillary Supporters both McCain and Obama lost some ground Obama went from 60-54 and McCain went from 20-10 but the undecided rose or I will not vote at all did too. I am realasitc when I said I think McCain will get 5-12 of the Hillary vote come Nov. But where are the rest going to go, I don’t think 32% will sit out. I am guessing 5-15 but what about the rest. Will they go to McCain? HOPE so but doubtful. McCain has to continue to market himself well or he will not win.
July 11th, 2008 at 5:05 pm
This is only a test… http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/24/opinion/24meese.html