The Candidates
Siena New York General Election (crosstabs)
- Barack Obama 50% (51%)
- John McCain 37% (33%)
Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)
- Barack Obama 57% / 32% (+25%)
- John McCain 45% / 42% (+3%)
(Among GOPers) If the Republican primary for Governor were held today, and the candidates were Michael Bloomberg and Rudy Giuliani, who would you vote for?
- Rudy Giuliani 61%
- Michael Bloomberg 26%
Survey of 626 registered voters was conducted July 7-10. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 9-11 are in parentheses. In the 2004 election, Senator Kerry defeated President Bush in New York, 59-40%.
July 14th, 2008 at 3:33 pm
For Aron to continue to hold out hope that Rudy will be on the ticket, is like Yankee’s fan thinking they still can will win the 2007 world series.
Ain’t Gonna Happen!
July 14th, 2008 at 3:42 pm
I think a McCain-Bloomberg would be stronger in NY than McCain-Giuliani. Admittedly, the polling to back my claim up is scarce.
July 14th, 2008 at 3:43 pm
i wouldn’t take rudy off a vp list
July 14th, 2008 at 3:43 pm
The Yanks have 67 games left and are 6 games behind Boston; 5.5 behind Tampa for the wildcard. To say they’re out of contention is wishful thinking on your part.
For someone who claims to “love Rudy,” you’re quite the hater.
July 14th, 2008 at 3:45 pm
PPP released a poll for Colorado showing McCain down by 4 at 47-43. That’s actually not all that bad, considering the pollster’s pro-Obama bent.
McCain needs to find about 4 points nationally. That’s the message from all the recent polling. If he can do that, the states will follow. If he can’t he loses.
July 14th, 2008 at 3:53 pm
It’s interesting how some of McCain’s supposed strengths seem like real weaknesses now. Any other Republican would have made up at least 4 points up on Obama just in the last few weeks over the drilling issue. But, McCain’s position is too mealy-mouthed (”I support drilling, if states support it, except in ANWR”) and he’s too uninterested in the issue to take advantage of Obama’s deeply unpopular position.
July 14th, 2008 at 3:58 pm
Adam,
Watch this: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1mNKEslXZ4w
how confident would you say he looks?
July 14th, 2008 at 4:05 pm
On #6. Yea..except any other Republican outside of Rudy, would be behind by about 10 points more b/c they would appear to be a generic Republican. Remember all those Romney polls with him in the mid-30s?
July 14th, 2008 at 4:06 pm
Aron #4,
I said; “2007 world series.” 2007, not 2008.
I do not “hate” Rudy, I just want to win this year.
July 14th, 2008 at 4:10 pm
Ajay,
You read my mind, man. Matt’s right. Other Republicans would be fighting this issue harder. But Romney would undoubtedly have been in an even deeper hole right now. It is unfortunate that McCain doesn’t seem that passionate about anything other than the war.
July 14th, 2008 at 4:10 pm
#7, they only have offices in 22 states? I KNEW IT!
July 14th, 2008 at 4:15 pm
sampo,
He doesn’t look exceedingly confident. But on the other hand, he looks more camera shy than anything else.
July 14th, 2008 at 4:30 pm
I think Obama’s nat’l lead may be misleading. He leads by huge amounts in states like IL, CA, MA, NY and a couple others that inflate his nat’l lead. Without IL, CA and NY the race is likely much closer.
I agree about McCain’s lack of interest and pressing on the drilling issue. But that’s McCain. he doesn’t really care about it and his mnove on it was pure pandering in the first place. When it’s something he cares about like CFR, the Surge, or CIR he’ll be out there everyday, on every show pushing his case.
We’re stuck with him unfortunately. Someone needs to convince Petraeus to say something about drilling. McCain does whatever he says.
July 14th, 2008 at 4:54 pm
Keep on hoping post # 4 that it will be a McCain- Giuliani ticket, the winning ticket. I’m
hoping it will be so. Rudy will help with the Northeastern sector as well as New Jersey and
New York.