July 16, 2008
Poll Watch: Gallup Daily General Election Tracking (7/16)
Gallup Daily General Election Tracking Poll
- Barack Obama 47%
- John McCain 44%
Survey of 2,638 registered voters was conducted July July 13-15. The margin of error is ±2 percentage points.
http://race42008.com/2008/07/16/poll-watch-gallup-daily-general-election-tracking-716/trackback/
July 16th, 2008 at 12:27 pm
Catching up one point at a time.
July 16th, 2008 at 12:35 pm
Expect movement tomorrow, as a very good day for Sen Obama is likely about to roll off.
July 16th, 2008 at 12:46 pm
Yep. One point at a time. McCain just needs to keep slowly chipping away at Obama and hammering home the fact that Obama is flip-flopping like crazy and acting just like a regular, average politician, not The Messiah he and his supporters claim.
July 16th, 2008 at 1:11 pm
I just hope some of these state polls start reflecting the slight shift. I’m dying to see some new OH and PA numbers. Mac has to be close to tied in OH and within 5 or so in PA.
July 16th, 2008 at 1:17 pm
McCain would likely see a huge surge in Pennsylvania and Ohio if he announced Ridge as his running mate.
July 16th, 2008 at 1:33 pm
Its true, Ridge would most likely be a plus in PA and OH, but I would be concerned about the hit McCain would take in the south and other states.
July 16th, 2008 at 2:30 pm
Yes, Mr. Ridge will help in PA, but I think he will actually hurt in Ohio maybe to the point of damage.
July 16th, 2008 at 2:31 pm
“McCain would likely see a huge surge in Pennsylvania and Ohio if he announced Ridge as his running mate.”
…and a significant drop among social Conservatives as McCain shows that he intends to send the GOP in a leftward direction after his term.
July 16th, 2008 at 2:32 pm
In other news, the price of oil is down almost another $5.00/barrel today. Let’s hope Bush and McCain can win this psychological war vs. the speculators and the liberals who don’t want us to drill.
July 16th, 2008 at 3:27 pm
Here’s an article from Time I found over at Real Clear Politics:
http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1822819,00.html
Just some shameless begging for money for BHO - appealing to the fear of the supporters vs. the vision of Hope and Change.
July 16th, 2008 at 3:57 pm
#10
…and still no word on Obama’s June fundraising total.
July 16th, 2008 at 4:22 pm
Rasmussen:
KS: McCain up by 20, 52-32
OR: O-46 M-35
July 16th, 2008 at 4:45 pm
That Rasmussen Oregon poll also has Merkley up over Smith for the first time in the Senate race, 43-41. With leaners it’s 46-46.
July 16th, 2008 at 4:56 pm
#11 - Yes, interesting, isn’t it? The Big O might regret not taking public financing afterall.
There is a gathering storm in the Democrat Ranks. Check anti-Obama websites.
July 16th, 2008 at 5:04 pm
Hey Pollwatcher,
Just out of curiosity, which Democrat websites do you like to frequent? I mean I know it’s fun and all for you to point out on a Republican site everytime the Democrats have a good polling day. And I notice you’re conspicuously absent anytime the Republicans have a poll result that we feel good about. I’d like to share in the fun. That way when the political pendulum shifts back and you guys start to lose all over the place again, you won’t need to feel left out. Because I’d certainly hate for that to happen.
Thanks.
July 16th, 2008 at 5:10 pm
Hi Adam - thanks for your concern. Actually, I just post the ones I notice haven’t been posted here by the time I see them and happen to be here; was the KS one positive for Democrats? I must have missed something “inside the numbers” on that one, Adam. If you want to keep your head in the sand an only look at “good” news, be my guest. Relax.
Thanks.
July 16th, 2008 at 5:14 pm
Totally relaxed here Pollwatcher but I got a little bored at work today and noticed that it was “Pollwatcher” that was the first to trumpet the MT poll from Rasmussen and it was “Pollwatcher” that liked to point out that in the Q-poll the Barry/McCain split of those over age 55 was closer than you thought it would be and found it interesting.
And I know that if I wanted to I could find a ton of other examples. And if you spent any time at all on this site and got involved in conversation other drive-by posting bad polling for Republicans you would know that I’m far from being one to only look at “good” news.
We’re a big tent here. It’s certainly not up to me to tell you whether or to stay or go, but don’t think your type of participation here is going unnoticed.
July 16th, 2008 at 5:17 pm
Ummm….I usually post poll number. LOL - if that’s not “going unnoticed”, whatever. I think you’re a little paranoid. Or something.
July 16th, 2008 at 5:18 pm
Go to the lib blogs and it’s an article of faith that Obama will win no matter what. Here the mindset is much more grounded.
July 16th, 2008 at 5:20 pm
Yes because posting bad polling for Republicans and never bothering to comment or offer insight on anything other than “that’s interesting” when Democrats poll well must be just a valuable service you are providing out of the goodness of your heart.
Or something.
July 16th, 2008 at 5:22 pm
Well, I guess you’ve got me, Adam. For what, I’m not sure, but well done! LOL
July 16th, 2008 at 5:46 pm
19. I agree we are much more grounded, except for when we discuss celestial marriages.
July 16th, 2008 at 7:30 pm
Btw, speaking of Mitt and Ann, did anyone notice Mitt hit 35.3 on intrade today, way over double anyone else?
Its MITT!!! God bless this wonderful country.
July 16th, 2008 at 8:20 pm
24. Yes, let’s have another raucous Mitt thread! Am I correct in that Mitt’s holy underwear has yet to be discussed?
July 16th, 2008 at 9:39 pm
There are alot of optimist on here but I am realistic too. We are looking at one pole. The poll that favors McCain more. If we look at all of them put together or a couple of others etc he is down 4-7 points. As for the Electoral, map wow. He has work to do.
The problem that I see is McCain is stuck between 40-45 and 46 47 on real real good days and weeks. Obama is 44-48 and 49-51 on real real good days and weeks. Its not that McCain is getting the support when Obama slips its that it goes to I will not vote this time around or I am undecided. That is an issue that will have to change and McCain and surrogates not ignoring that and trying to capture them. MARKET YOURSELF McCain sell your message, who you are more than attack the other lets your surrogates attack Obama, and you address yourself more..
July 16th, 2008 at 10:39 pm
#24 Hearme - I informed people of what is happening on the betting today, and you go ape bigot on us!
There is nothing whatsoever to be ashamed of temple garments, and for you to bring it up says a lot more about yourself than it does LDS people. If I didn’t know you were a Hillary lover, I’d think you were a Huckabee fan.
July 18th, 2008 at 12:43 am
If you want the latest on the electoral map go to this link. You have to go to the bottom of the country map to see what new state polls are in for that day. If you go to the Map itself alot of them will say June but some will say july with recent data. This person is a republican but is a realist too. I say they are repbublican because they say so and other things that are said are republican. However they give a realist view too……http://www.electoral-vote.com/ The interesting thing here is what is more likeley for red states to turn blue or for blue ones to turn red. I think that we all agree that a few states are going to flip we just don’t know in what direction. WE hope red but we got to be realist that one may turn blue or two if you are thinking four are in play……..