GOP Nominee
Former Candidates
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracking Poll
- Barack Obama 44%
- John McCain 41%
With Leaners
- Barack Obama 47%
- John McCain 45%
Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 1,000 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The margin of sampling error—for the full sample of 3,000 Likely Voters–is +/- 2 percentage points.
July 20th, 2008 at 12:13 pm
Aron,
I figured, you would want to bookmark this site. http://www.muslimsforobama.com/
July 20th, 2008 at 12:23 pm
McCain just can’t seem to go ahead of Obama. He is always within a point or two. One of these days…
July 20th, 2008 at 1:20 pm
Clarence,
Give it time.
July 20th, 2008 at 3:03 pm
Patrick is right. Better to be behind a few points and fight hard.
July 20th, 2008 at 3:23 pm
Brendan, that’s especially true in the case of John McCain. He’s always done better behind. There’s a University of New Hampshire survey of New Hampshire likely voters coming out in a few days. I think people will be surprised…
July 20th, 2008 at 3:26 pm
McCain was at the Yankee game with Rudy and Judith today as pointed out on the Yankee Network, YES. The YES network stated that Kim Jones, a reporter for YES interviewed McCain but I have not yet seen the interview. Also, I believe Rudy is on the short list for VP. See below:
July 20, 2008, 2:38 pm
McCain Through the Yankee Prism
http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/07/20/mccain-through-the-yankee-prism/
July 20th, 2008 at 4:00 pm
For now, it appeards based on a number of polls that McCain has maxed out his support among certain groups. He appears to have hit a wall.
The fact that he’s always around the 43-46 range or so and has been for a while means he’s solidified the support he does have but he’s not really breaking through in to other groups. It’s a positive that he’s maintaining that and not losing it.
Conversely, the fact that Obama has been relatively consistent in his 46-49 range means that he too has solidified his support but hasn’t yet broken out. So that’s the good news.
You also have the 10% or so undecuded who I think will probably break to McCain by at least a pt or two in the end.
So, McCain has to figure out what groups he hasn’t yet really caught on with, how to catch on with them, and how to poach a pt or two worth of support from Obama.
There’s still plenty of time to do so, and a lot can and will happen. But I think he needs to do something to really grab some attention and at least a lead in a poll or two to shake things up.
July 20th, 2008 at 4:35 pm
TOM think your right on with rudy being on a short list for vp.
July 20th, 2008 at 5:30 pm
Right behind T/Paw/Roms/Crist/Portman/Cantor/Cox.
July 20th, 2008 at 5:32 pm
Gallup has Obama ahead by 3% now. I still think McCain is fine - Obama should be up by at least 7% now imo…
July 20th, 2008 at 6:30 pm
If Rudy is his VP, I am off his list of voters for McCain. No way will I vote for someone who is pro-abortion.
July 20th, 2008 at 6:36 pm
Barack Obama fears the Blair effect: hero abroad, liability at home
The Democrat contender will win fans on his European tour, but voters are likely to demand something more than photo ops
Lest there be any illusions about the desired target audience for Obama’s trip, the foreign media, including the BBC, have been left on the Tarmac. Only American reporters are on board “Obama One” as his plane heads from one country to the next.
He will have a 45-minute meeting on Saturday morning with Gordon Brown followed by a press conference, which Obama will conduct on his own outside Downing Street in a blatant departure from the usual protocol.
There will be no Brown at his side to spoil the No 10 backdrop for American voters, even though it would be unthinkable for a British prime minister to appear in the White House Rose Garden without the president.
July 20th, 2008 at 7:03 pm
David D: Not voting for McCain is a vote for Obama so it appears that you would rather vote for Obama in such a scenario. Obama a commi & huge threat to our society while Rudy is a backup guarantee that the Federal Courts would have strict constructionist appointments.
July 20th, 2008 at 7:05 pm
In other news, it appears that Joe Biden has won the MSNBC dem veepstakes poll, beating out Hillary Clinton in the finals by around a 54-46 margin.
I don’t really think Obama/Biden does anything to help the dem ticket. It doesn’t really hurt it, either.
July 20th, 2008 at 7:55 pm
A lot of people like Biden - I don’t - but he does seem to know foreign policy.
July 20th, 2008 at 8:11 pm
Biden is the ultimate safe pick. But I doubt he’s as useful as Bayh. Bayh knows foreign affairs, but also has executive experience & helps in Indiana & OH/MI.
July 20th, 2008 at 9:03 pm
Tom - a non-vote for McCain is not a vote for Obama. A vote for Obama is a vote for Obama. A non-vote is just that = a Non-Vote. How about you just let people express their concerns in the way they want to.
July 20th, 2008 at 9:03 pm
I liked Biden - he was one of the most sane Dems running.
July 20th, 2008 at 9:13 pm
Ray, a non vote is a vote that could have gone to McCain and didn’t.
Having said that, its also a vote that could have gone to Obama and didn’t.
Another option if McCain is untenable is to vote for Barr. Its a protest vote, but shows where you stand on the left-right spectrum.
July 20th, 2008 at 9:17 pm
And a vote for Barr is not a lost vote for McCain if you weren’t going to vote for McCain…
July 20th, 2008 at 11:05 pm
Number 20 though, I think a vote for bar can be a lost vote for McCain, because you can argue if Barr was not on the ticket you may hold your nose and vote for McCain.
Then there are the polls. We tend to look at polls that shows McCain a little closer to Obama and ignore the ones that have him a little further back, The bottom line is he is behind about 3-7 points and with the latest electoral numbers he has not made big inroads. There are only two blue states Ohio and Pa that could seriously go red and Obama is up in both…However there are serveral red states and if two of them just two go blue and lets say McCain wins Ohio like Bush did by 111k last time, it can make up for the rest….but if more a third red goes blue then uggg…… there are a couple of electoral college sites out there…that show some of the latest figures….since this is where the election is won…….Obama has low 300 on the high end and high 200 on the conservative end. If leaners or slight leads are taken out he has 200 and McCain has 130-150……..It good to be optomistic but realistic too. If that is done then I think McCain will work harder….
July 20th, 2008 at 11:07 pm
McCain is stuck in the low to mid 40′S and Obamas support has slipped in a few polls the support has not gone to McCain but back into the undecided col…thats not good either…one of them will win some of them back and if Obama has an ever slight edge in them..then thats not good either….Pick a good running mate McCain to make the base happy and not allienate too many ind.
July 21st, 2008 at 9:00 am
Unlike Gallup, it looks like there’s still some volatility in Rasmussen’s polling (likely due to tweaking of weightings). It’s pretty odd to me that an average go up one day, then drop further than it was the next, but that’s exactly what happened here.