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Quinnipiac Minnesota General Election
- Barack Obama 46% (54%)
- John McCain 44% (37%)
Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)
- Barack Obama 55% / 26% (+29%)
- John McCain 51% / 27% (+24%)
Survey of 1,261 likely voters was conducted July 14-22. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Results from the poll released June 26 are in parentheses.
July 24th, 2008 at 9:56 am
Wow. What a great day for J-Mac. These polls, coupled with the WSJ poll last night are simply amazing news.
July 24th, 2008 at 9:59 am
Whoa! I feel this is likely an outlier given other MN polls but look at that trend over a 2 week span – McCain +7 Obama -8 Is it possible McCain could play here with T-Paw as an effective surrogate (or more) and the convention being in Minneapolis?
July 24th, 2008 at 9:59 am
BHO Down 8?
Do you hear that? – that real light pffff sound? that is the air leaving BHO’s inflated ego.
The Obam-a-bust is coming.
July 24th, 2008 at 9:59 am
MCCAIN!!!!!!!1!1!
July 24th, 2008 at 10:02 am
I’m not sure I buy this one – but it is still good news.
July 24th, 2008 at 10:22 am
What WSJ Poll last night? It had McCain down 6, how is that good news.
Obama will win Minnesota. It may be within 5 if Pawlenty is VP, but I don’t want that to happen!
July 24th, 2008 at 10:24 am
Hi Guys,
Unfortunately, probably an outlier. Look at the favorable / unfavorables. What could have happened to sink a guy the polls say you like more?
July 24th, 2008 at 10:24 am
#6, Minnesota tightened up 4 years ago close to election day. Never say never.
July 24th, 2008 at 10:30 am
Again, with respect to MI, if we can win MI, we can probably win MN, not to mention WI and probably Iowa.
July 24th, 2008 at 10:32 am
The WSJ poll last night was excellent news for McCain. Even with Obama trip abroad he couldn’t move the numbers up at all? And McCain KILLED BHO in all of the category answers: strong leader, less-risky, best commander in chief……………he won them all. It was a great poll. Check out the internals, thats the key.
July 24th, 2008 at 10:33 am
McCain can win Michigan.
He will get drilled by 6-10pt’s in MN, IA, and WI in my book.
Who would Michigan folks want to see out there. Their idiotic governor campaigning for Obama? Or Mitt Romney, son of a very popular governor from the past?
July 24th, 2008 at 10:39 am
I remind you MVRed that Michigan voted for that idiotic governor two years ago.
July 24th, 2008 at 10:40 am
We voted for the idiotic Strickland too. Why? Because we had an idiot named Taft that ruined our party with his scandals.
July 24th, 2008 at 10:42 am
Taft was the worst thing that ever happened to Republicans in Ohio.
July 24th, 2008 at 10:44 am
I agree with you that Mr. Strickland is an idiot too, but unlike in MI, Mr. Strickland was able to pretend that he was a Conservative.
July 24th, 2008 at 10:50 am
Least he hasn’t raised taxes yet…. Do I approve of Strickland’s job… No.
But he has yet to do anything that would make me support someone else in 2010. I don’t like him, but I have no reasons to disapprove of his job right now and to vote for someone else. I hate to admit it too.
July 24th, 2008 at 10:52 am
I think you made my point the Ohio is not as crazy as Michigan.
July 24th, 2008 at 11:51 am
Obama has a decent Fav rating in this state. Pawlenty could tip it though to McCain.
July 24th, 2008 at 11:59 am
The point in all of this really is. McCain has to do one of two things. He has to win all of the red states bush won in 2004 or pick up blue states. My question again, past the emotion, partisan, hopeful yada yada. If someone said your life depends upon it is it more likely for states this year to turn blue or red?
The second thing McCain can do is lose a few red states and pick up blue ones.
Obama what he has to do is this, there are fewer blue states but at the same time he has a couple of the biggest electoral prizes in CA and NY and we know that those are not turning red or purple.
All he has to do is win all of the states that Kerry won and pick up one or two red that add up to 20 electoral votes and its over. Looking at the map as it stands today, most of the blue states won in 2004 are not in serious jep. What we are seeing with McCain is doing better or cathching Obama in some states that bush won, are red and he should be winning anyway. that is the problem. Optimistic, yes, Hopeful yes, Relalistic yes. These are just things to look out for.
July 24th, 2008 at 1:59 pm
Is this a Pawlenty effect?