September 10, 2008

GOP Takes Lead on Generic Ballot?!

Building congressional majorities are near and dear to my heart as I spent the entire 2006 cycle blogging the Minnesota U.S. Senate race.

So it is with great excitement — coupled with a healthy dose of skepticism — that I note a Gallup poll showing Republicans pulling ahead on the generic ballot:

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Public support for Republican Party candidates to the House of Representatives increased dramatically this month in the United States, according to a poll by Gallup released by USA Today. 50 per cent of respondents would vote for the GOP contender in their congressional district, up eight points since August.

Democratic Party contenders are second with 45 per cent, down six points in a month. Six per cent of respondents would vote for other candidates or are undecided.

A word of caution:  Democrats routinely would lead the generic ballot question even while voters in individual districts sent their individual Republican congressperson back to Washington.  In other words, this is not the most accurate barometer of the composition of the next Congress.

That said, it is a marked turn in fortunes for a party that has been buffeted for the last 36 months.

by @ 7:02 am. Filed under 2008 House Races, Poll Watch
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11 Responses to “GOP Takes Lead on Generic Ballot?!”

  1. Jeff Says:

    McCain firing back on the ‘lipstick’… Wow! “Ready to Smear: Yes”

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yZd_Y_D-RaA

  2. gery- Says:

    WOW

    http://i78.photobucket.com/albums/j99/mocowboysfan/corally2.jpg

  3. Jeff Says:

    Obama’s talking points leading up to the ‘lipstick’ line were lifted from a Tom Toles cartoon published on the 5th.

    http://www.stoptheaclu.com/archives/2008/09/10/did-obama-steal-his-lip-stick-on-a-pig-speech-from-a-political-cartoon/

    Obama’s remarks:

    John McCain says he’s about change too. Exce- and and so I guess his whole angle is - watch out, George Bush - except for economic policy, healthcare policy, tax policy, education policy, foreign policy, and Karl-Rove-style politics, we’re really gonna shake things up in Washington.

    That’s not change.

    That’s that’s just callin’ sumpin’ the same thing somethin’ different.

    But you know, you can’t, you know, you you can put, ah, lipstick on a pig, it’s still a pig.

    Cartoon text:

    Watch out Mr. Bush! With the exception of economic policy and energy policy and social issues and tax policy and foreigh policy and supreme court appointments and rove-style politics, we’re coming in there to shake things up!

  4. Jeff Says:

    oh - and about the generic congressional poll - excellent!

  5. MWS Says:

    Gary,

    I share your skepticism (and hope) about this poll. It’s hard to believe that even with the drilling issue and Palin mania, that things could have turned so quickly, so dramatically. I guess we’ll know in 2 months.

  6. jim Says:

    Obama plagiarizing? I guess Biden is rubbing off already.

    McCain needs to get a video out of all Obama’s sexist attacks on Hillary.

    I’m telling you, Palin needs to one up Obama and give a gender in America speech like Obama gave his race speech

    Id invite Ferraro to speak as well

    It would seal the election

  7. Laurent Fourier Says:

    Yes it’s the all plagiarism/all-inauthentic ticket….Fake/Fraud 08

  8. MWS Says:

    Laurent,

    “Fake/Fraud 08″

    Are you sure it’s not Fraud/Fake ‘08? I can never keep the two straight…..

  9. Dave Says:

    The generic poll vectors are exciting.

  10. Brendan Antoine Says:

    Gery! That is a crowd that I haven’ for repubs in a long time. God bless Sarah!

  11. race42008.com » Blog Archive » The Rising Republican Tide, Lifting All Boats Says:

    [...] the biggest news, noted by Gary Matthew Miller here, and Soren Dayton here, is the Gallup poll showing Republicans up 5 among likely voters.  Yes, [...]

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