InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position Colorado General Election
- Barack Obama 51% (50%)
- John McCain 45% (41%)
Survey of 485 likely voters was conducted October 6. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 23 are in parentheses.
October 7th, 2008 at 4:29 pm
At least we are staying in striking distance in CO – If the national numbers get close again McCain can still win this thing.
October 7th, 2008 at 4:38 pm
I think we’re going to need Colorado to win. It’s going to be very close there. If we can win Colorado, Virginia, Florida, Ohio, and either the 2nd district in Maine, Nevada, or New Hampshire we win.
It’ll be crazy if McCain takes CO, VA, FL, OH, and the 2nd district of Maine to win with exactly 270 electoral votes but loses the national popular vote. Crazy. The liberals will hate McCain/Palin as much as they hate Bush if that happens.
October 7th, 2008 at 4:45 pm
McCain’s going to win this thing…mark my words. McCain is seriously on the offensive, Obama has an insanely scandalous past, these polls always lean in favor of the Dems, and let’s not forget to add in the Bradley Effect, which did occur in the NH primaries when Obama was 9 pts ahead in the polls before the primary and Hillary won.
McCain will take FL, OH, VA, NC, CO, and NV. I just cannot believe that the states that Bush won four years ago, have enough stupid people to vote for the Messiah considering how dangerous and unelectable he his compared to John Kerry.
October 7th, 2008 at 4:51 pm
I think that this is one State where Bush could help him out with some campaigning to get out the base.
October 7th, 2008 at 5:34 pm
JA, maybe Bush could help in Colorado Springs. That is an overwhelmingly Conservative area that Bush carried two to one and McCain will need a similar margin to win here.
October 7th, 2008 at 5:41 pm
Ron,
We could also get Dr. Dobson out there campaigning for McCain now that he is onboard.
October 7th, 2008 at 6:08 pm
Fredrick, McCain is not on the offensive. That remark is sheer stupidity.
And why do you reference the Bradley effect in NH, but forget to mention the anti-Bradley effect in Wisconsin, Virginia, North Carolina, etc? It’s overrated.
The over-confidence is baffling.
October 7th, 2008 at 7:29 pm
Was there a Bradley effect in NH, or perhaps, bad polling, and of course, realization that Hillary wasn’t as cold as the media portrayed?
October 7th, 2008 at 7:30 pm
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/10/in-georgia-small-improvements-in-black.html
I don’t think Bradley Effect’s going to hamper Obama in NC, VA. Certainly, blacks supporting Obama overwhelms white resentment of blacks.