October 15, 2008

Poll Watch: Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Daily Tracking (10/15)

Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Daily Tracking Poll

  • Barack Obama 48.2%
  • John McCain 44.4%

Survey of 1,210 likely voters was conducted October 11-14. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

In this latest report on the three-day rolling average, McCain gained 1.6 percentage points, while Obama lost 0.8 percentage points.

Obama lost ground among independents in this latest edition of the tracking poll, and now leads McCain by just 8 points, 44% to 36%, with the rest of the independents either favoring a different candidate or remaining undecided. Obama’s lead just yesterday among independents in the three-day rolling average was 17%. Both candidates continue to perform well among their respective party members.

McCain has flipped places with Obama among men, and now leads by an insignificant one percent, while Obama leads by 8 points among women, down from 11 points in yesterday’s report.

Liberal voters support Obama over McCain by an 85% to 11% margin, while McCain leads among conservatives by a 74% to 19% edge. Among moderates, 61% support Obama, while 33% support McCain.

McCain has regained the lead among those in military families, and now leads in the group, 49% to 44%. Obama has held a small edge in that demographic group for a few days.

Among those voters who said they have registered to vote in the last six months, Obama leads McCain by a 55% to 34% margin. Among those who have already voted – about seven percent of the sample – Obama leads by a 56% to 40% edge over McCain.

by @ 12:09 am. Filed under Poll Watch - General Election
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11 Responses to “Poll Watch: Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Daily Tracking (10/15)”

  1. Danny Says:

    “Among those who have already voted – about seven percent of the sample – Obama leads by a 56% to 40% edge over McCain.”

    Seven percent claim to have already voted? Right.

  2. OHIO JOE Says:

    I am sure that many of those who already voted were affiliated with ACORN.

  3. MVRed.com Says:

    Why does it move from 4 to 6 to 4 so damn easily?

  4. Adam Says:

    Well at least the conservatives won in Canada.

  5. OHIO JOE Says:

    Even though, the Conservatives won with only 38% of the vote due to vote splitting, if the Conservatives can win in liberal Canada, we should win down here.

  6. mike Says:

    This should tighten prior to November and McCain can win this thing if he can carry FL, OH, VA, and CO. CO may decide this election as I doubt McCain will win PA, MN, or WI.

  7. Taylor Says:

    We don’t have a conservative running, so the chances of electing one are pretty slim.

  8. mike Says:

    Rassmussen is still 50-45 Obama which is good news considering some of the other polls. Its not over.

  9. Jeff Says:

    “Dreams from Bill Ayers’ Father”… anyone going to tackle the mounting evidence that Bill Ayers wrote Barack’s book(s)?

    This one looks to actually have a prayer of jumping out of the nutroots, given the sheer number of uncanny passages and documented ties between the two (Barack and Ayers) – unlike the gf in martinique, clb, odinga, and the rest…

    http://www.cashill.com/intellect_fraud/nautical_metaphors.htm

  10. dotan Says:

    This is me, spamming again. Oh, how could I? Anyway, did you hear about Michelle Obama coming un-glued in a telephone conversation with African Press International?

    [...] When API told her that our online news media was only relaying what the American Bloggers and other media outlets had discovered through their investigations, Mrs Obama was angered and she came out loud with the following: “African press International is supposed to support Africans and African-American view,” and she went to state that, “it is strange that API has chosen to support the racists against my husband. There is no shame in being adopted by a step father. All dirt has been thrown onto my husband’s face and yet he loves this country. My husband and I know that there is no law that will stop him from becoming the president, just because some American white racists are bringing up the issue of my husband’s adoption by His step father. The important thing here is where my husband’s heart is at the moment. I can tell the American people that My husband loves this country and his adoption never changed his love for this country. He was born in Hawaii, yes, and that gives him all the right to be an American citizen even though he was adopted by a foreigner; says Michelle Obama on telefon to API.”

    This is a very interesting turn of events. The American man Dr Corsi was recently reported to have been arrested in Kenya because there was fear that he might reveal information on Obama when he wanted to hold a press conference in Nairobi.

    The question now is why he was arrested and who ordered his arrest. Was Obama’s hand in this in any way? We will never know the truth but what is clear is that Dr Corsi was seen as a threat while in Kenya.

    When API asked Mrs Obama to comment on why Dr Corsi was arrested by the Kenyan government and whether she thought Kenya’s Prime Minister Mr Raila Odinga was involved in Dr Corsi’s arrest, she got irritated and and simply told API not to dig that which will support evil people who are out to stop her husband from getting the presidency.

    When asked who she was referring to as the evil people, she stated that she was not going to elaborate much on that but that many conservative white people and even some African Americans were against her husband, but that this group of blacks were simply doing so because of envy.

    On Farakhan and his ministry, Mrs Obama told API that it was unfortunate that Mr Farakhan came out the way he did supporting her husband openly before the elections was over. That was not wholehearted support but one that was calculated to convince the American people that my husband will support the growth of muslim faith if he became the president, adding “even if my husband was able to prove that he is not a Muslim, he will not be believed by those who have come out strongly to destroy his chances of being the next President. Do real people expect someone to deny a religion when 80 percent of his relatives are Muslims?; Mrs Obama asked.

    Mrs Obama asked API to write a good story about her husband and that will earn API an invitation to the innoguration ceremony when, as she put it , her husband will be installed as the next President of the United States of America next year … [...]

    http://africanpress.wordpress.com/2008/10/15/shocking-development-mrs-obama-decides-enough-is-enough-my-husband-was-born-in-hawaii-and-adopted-by-his-step-father-does-that-make-him-unpatriotic-she-asks-on-a-direct-telephone-to-api/

  11. dotan Says:

    I was duped. The so-called African Press International story is a fake. Please forgive me for posting before investigating further.

    Thanks for posting this. You might have seen that there was a post featured on the main page of wordpress.com about Obama being from Kenya. The original post came from a racist group called Stormfront. That’s where the woman who posted it got the information. I complained to the owners of the site and wrote everyone I could to have that NOT be a featured post. She has the right to post whatever she wants on her blog. But, knowing the source of the information, I felt it was inappropriate to have it as the number one featured post. It’s still considered a “hawt”, whatever that means, post on their main page. But now your post is there to balance things out a bit.

    http://africanpress.wordpress.com/2008/10/15/shocking-development-mrs-obama-decides-enough-is-enough-my-husband-was-born-in-hawaii-and-adopted-by-his-step-father-does-that-make-him-unpatriotic-she-asks-on-a-direct-telephone-to-api/#comment-36009

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