Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Daily Tracking Poll
- Barack Obama 48.2%
- John McCain 44.4%
Survey of 1,210 likely voters was conducted October 11-14. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.
Inside the numbers:
In this latest report on the three-day rolling average, McCain gained 1.6 percentage points, while Obama lost 0.8 percentage points.
Obama lost ground among independents in this latest edition of the tracking poll, and now leads McCain by just 8 points, 44% to 36%, with the rest of the independents either favoring a different candidate or remaining undecided. Obama’s lead just yesterday among independents in the three-day rolling average was 17%. Both candidates continue to perform well among their respective party members.
McCain has flipped places with Obama among men, and now leads by an insignificant one percent, while Obama leads by 8 points among women, down from 11 points in yesterday’s report.
Liberal voters support Obama over McCain by an 85% to 11% margin, while McCain leads among conservatives by a 74% to 19% edge. Among moderates, 61% support Obama, while 33% support McCain.
McCain has regained the lead among those in military families, and now leads in the group, 49% to 44%. Obama has held a small edge in that demographic group for a few days.
Among those voters who said they have registered to vote in the last six months, Obama leads McCain by a 55% to 34% margin. Among those who have already voted – about seven percent of the sample – Obama leads by a 56% to 40% edge over McCain.
October 15th, 2008 at 2:48 am
“Among those who have already voted – about seven percent of the sample – Obama leads by a 56% to 40% edge over McCain.”
Seven percent claim to have already voted? Right.
October 15th, 2008 at 4:34 am
I am sure that many of those who already voted were affiliated with ACORN.
October 15th, 2008 at 5:41 am
Why does it move from 4 to 6 to 4 so damn easily?
October 15th, 2008 at 6:42 am
Well at least the conservatives won in Canada.
October 15th, 2008 at 7:04 am
Even though, the Conservatives won with only 38% of the vote due to vote splitting, if the Conservatives can win in liberal Canada, we should win down here.
October 15th, 2008 at 7:09 am
This should tighten prior to November and McCain can win this thing if he can carry FL, OH, VA, and CO. CO may decide this election as I doubt McCain will win PA, MN, or WI.
October 15th, 2008 at 8:14 am
We don’t have a conservative running, so the chances of electing one are pretty slim.
October 15th, 2008 at 8:34 am
Rassmussen is still 50-45 Obama which is good news considering some of the other polls. Its not over.
October 15th, 2008 at 8:52 am
“Dreams from Bill Ayers’ Father”… anyone going to tackle the mounting evidence that Bill Ayers wrote Barack’s book(s)?
This one looks to actually have a prayer of jumping out of the nutroots, given the sheer number of uncanny passages and documented ties between the two (Barack and Ayers) – unlike the gf in martinique, clb, odinga, and the rest…
http://www.cashill.com/intellect_fraud/nautical_metaphors.htm
October 15th, 2008 at 9:52 am
This is me, spamming again. Oh, how could I? Anyway, did you hear about Michelle Obama coming un-glued in a telephone conversation with African Press International?
http://africanpress.wordpress.com/2008/10/15/shocking-development-mrs-obama-decides-enough-is-enough-my-husband-was-born-in-hawaii-and-adopted-by-his-step-father-does-that-make-him-unpatriotic-she-asks-on-a-direct-telephone-to-api/
October 15th, 2008 at 10:01 am
I was duped. The so-called African Press International story is a fake. Please forgive me for posting before investigating further.
http://africanpress.wordpress.com/2008/10/15/shocking-development-mrs-obama-decides-enough-is-enough-my-husband-was-born-in-hawaii-and-adopted-by-his-step-father-does-that-make-him-unpatriotic-she-asks-on-a-direct-telephone-to-api/#comment-36009