Rasmussen Survey on 2010 Mid-Term Elections
Looking ahead to the 2010 mid-term elections, which party is most likely to gain seats in Congress?
- Republicans 52%
- Democrats 32%
How likely is it that Republicans will win control of Congress next year?
- Very likely 18%
- Somewhat likely 31%
- Not very likely 30%
- Not at all likely 7%
Which is better for the country….one political party running both the White House and Congress or each being run by a different political party?
- One political party both running the White House and Congress 30%
- Each being run by a different political party 45%
Do you agree or disagree with this statement: “Right now we are in another [economic] crisis… Government must be able to move fast and decisively. So that’s an argument for saying it would be a good thing if we had the same party in control of both Congress and the White House.”
- Agree 37%
- Disagree 48%
What is a more important role for Congress – passing good legislation or preventing bad legislation from becoming law?
- Passing good legislation 48%
- Preventing bad legislation from becoming law 46%
Survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted November 3-4. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.
Inside the numbers:
Seventy-three percent (73%) of Republicans think it is likely that their party will regain control of the Senate and the House. Just 55% of Democrats say it’s unlikely. Even more telling is that 31% of Republicans say it is very likely, compared to 12% of Democratic voters who rate it as not at all likely.
A plurality (49%) of voters not affiliated with either party see the GOP returning to the majority in Congress.
Eighty-two percent (82%) of GOP voters and 55% of unaffiliateds say Republicans will gain seats in Congress next year. Sixty percent (60%) of Democrats say their party will increase its majorities.
November 5th, 2009 at 2:32 pm
That is why I hope we are one seat short of taking the House so Obama is more likely to be booted out in the 2012 election.
November 5th, 2009 at 3:50 pm
I’ve come to the same conclusion for the midterms. I hope the Democrats hope it just barely so they can’t get anything done, then get booted in 2012 with a Republican president.
November 5th, 2009 at 4:26 pm
Very likely 18%
Somewhat likely 31%
I likey likey!
But one short, is fine with me, too.
November 5th, 2009 at 6:44 pm
“That is why I hope we are one seat short of taking the House so Obama is more likely to be booted out in the 2012 election.” BINGO, 217 is the magic number.
November 5th, 2009 at 10:04 pm
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/26/us/politics/26congress.html?pagewanted=2
November 6th, 2009 at 11:25 pm
If Republicans win the House, Obama will be a lock for reelection. Just look what happened to Dole in 1996 when Clinton essentially ran saying that he needed to be reelected as a check on the Republican Congress.