Poll Watch: Rasmussen Minnesota GOP Gubernatorial Primary

4 Responses to “Poll Watch: Rasmussen Minnesota GOP Gubernatorial Primary”

1. Aron Goldman Says:
   November 17th, 2009 at 12:20 pm

   Missouri Preview
   http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2009/11/missouri-preview.html

   The Missouri Senate race, where we’ll release numbers tomorrow, is a great prism into the current political climate.

   44% of independents in the state have an unfavorable opinion of Roy Blunt to just 23% viewing him favorably. Robin Carnahan also has poor, but somewhat better, numbers with that group- 40% have an unfavorable opinion of her with 33% holding a positive take.

   The fact that both candidates are unpopular with independents is a clue to the enmity voters are feeling toward politicians of all stripes right now, but with Carnahan’s net favorability with independents coming out at -7 to Blunt’s -21 you would expect her to have a solid race in the horse race with that group, right?

   Wrong. Blunt leads 44-32 with independents even though only 23% like him. His vote share nearly doubles his favorability!

   This is another example of something I wrote about last weekend- voters who dislike both parties or in this case both politicians are leaning toward the party out of power because they at least see it as an alternative to the status quo. A big part of the Democratic message next year is going to have to be reminding voters why they hated the Republicans being in power so much and convincing them the alternative is worse.

2. Hunter Says:
   November 17th, 2009 at 1:00 pm

   After DaveG (I think it was him) hyped Laura Brod a while back, I figured she might have a shot here. Looks like Coleman shouldn’t have much of a problem.

   #1… We have such boring politicians here in Missouri.

3. Aron Goldman Says:
   November 17th, 2009 at 1:05 pm

   Hunter, that was Adam Brickley; not DaveG.

   http://race42008.com/2009/06/03/laura-brod-minnesotas-next-governor/
   http://race42008.com/2009/06/28/laura-brod-and-the-most-interesting-race-of-2010/

4. First Ringer Says:
   November 17th, 2009 at 4:57 pm

   Considering the poll includes two candidates not currently in the race (Coleman & Brod) and excludes a lot of legitimate candidates who are running, I’d put about zero stock in this name ID poll. Besides, the MN GOP hasn’t had a meaningful primary since 1994 – and even that was a historical aberration. The party has almost always rallied around the convention’s nominee, even after bitter nomination fights like the 13-ballot, all-night battle royale between Tim Pawlenty and Brian Sullivan in 2002.