November 19, 2009

Poll Watch: Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Political Survey

Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

  • Approve 46% [50%] {49%} (50%) [54%] {53%}
  • Disapprove 46% [41%] {45%} (42%) [39%] {40%}

Among Independents

  • Approve 34% [49%] {42%} (46%) [51%] {49%}
  • Disapprove 51% [34%] {47%} (41%) [42%] {44%}

Is President Obama a stronger leader than you expected, a weaker leader, or is he about what you expected?

  • Stronger leader than expected 17%
  • Weaker leader than expected 23%
  • Same as expected 57%

Among Independents

  • Stronger leader than expected 14%
  • Weaker leader than expected 29%
  • Same as expected 53%

In the next congressional election in 2010, are you more likely to vote for the Democrat to help Barack Obama pass his policies and programs; or vote for the Republican to provide a check on Obama’s power?

  • Vote for the Republican 42% [40%] {42%} [35%] {40%}
  • Vote for the Democrat 39% [39%] {38%} [40%] {40%}

Among Independents

  • Vote for the Republican 43% [31%] {35%} [28%] {30%}
  • Vote for the Democrat 23% [30%] {22%} [29%] {28%}

Do you support or oppose sending additional U.S. troops to Afghanistan?

  • Support 42% {46%} [41%]
  • Oppose 45% {46%} [50%]

As of right now, do you think the U.S. and its allies are winning the war against terrorism?

  • Yes 33%
  • No 54%

Where do you think the five detainees accused of conspiring to commit the September 11 terrorist attacks should be tried — in the U.S. court system or in a military tribunal?

  • Military tribunal 52%
  • U.S. court system 40%

Among Independents

  • Military tribunal 60%
  • U.S. court system 33%

Recently, Attorney General Eric Holder decided to transfer five Guantanamo Bay detainees accused of conspiring to commit the September 11 attacks to New York City to stand trial in U.S. civilian court. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea?

  • Good idea 42%
  • Bad idea 49%

Among Independents

  • Good idea 32%
  • Bad idea 60%

Do you think the September 11 attacks are better described as a violent crime or as an act of terrorism?

  • Act of terrorism 78%
  • Violent crime 6%

Do you think the Obama administration wants the September 11 trials to be held in a U.S. civilian court to put the Bush administration’s anti-terrorism policies and the practices of the CIA on trial or do you think the Obama administration truly believes justice is best served by having a criminal trial instead of a military tribunal?

  • Believes criminal trial is better 50%
  • Put Bush administration policies on trial 28%

Do you think you could truly be an impartial juror at the trial of an accused terrorist?

  • Yes 41%
  • No 54%

When the president of the United States is traveling overseas, do you think it is appropriate for him to bow to a foreign leader if that is the country’s custom or is it never appropriate for the president to bow to another leader?

  • Yes, bow when it is the proper custom 67%
  • No, it is never appropriate for the president to bow 26%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Michelle Obama 63% / 21% {+42%}
  • Oprah Winfrey 61% / 26% {+35%}
  • Mike Huckabee 45% / 23% {+22%}
  • Barack Obama 54% / 42% {+12%}
  • Mitt Romney 38% / 27% {+11%}
  • Sarah Palin 47% / 42% {+5%}
  • Newt Gingrich 38% / 38% {0%}
  • Nancy Pelosi 28% / 50% {-22%}

Survey of 900 registered voters was conducted November 17-18. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 38% Democrat; 36% Republican; 20% Independent. Results from the poll conducted conducted October 27-28 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13-14 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29-30 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 15-16 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11-12 are in curly brackets.

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6 Responses to “Poll Watch: Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Political Survey”

  1. Tommy Boy Says:

    Also in the poll:

    Favorable/unfavorable

    Among Republicans [net]

    Sarah Palin 70/21 [+49]
    Mike Huckabee 63/15 [+48]
    Mitt Romney 60/16 [+44]

    Among Independents [net]

    Mike Huckabee 44/28 [+16]
    Sarah Palin 49/34 [+15]
    Mitt Romney 35/34 [+1]

    Among Democrats

    Mike Huckabee 28/30 [-2]
    Mitt Romney 20/36 [-16]
    Sarah Palin 25/62 [-37]

  2. Tommy Boy Says:

    Fox/Opinion Dynamics has never been known to be right-leaning on personal approval/favorabilty questions.

    http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/10/question-order-may-bias-fox-news-health.html

    The first instinct that most of the liberals in the audience will have simply this: well, it’s a Fox poll, so of course it’s biased. The reality is a little bit more complicated, however. Fox News’s pollster, Opinion Dynamics, generally hasn’t shown much evidence of a Republican-leaning “house effect”. Take a look, for example, at their Obama approval numbers. Since the beginning of Obama’s term, they have shown, on average, 58 percent of registered voters approving the President versus 32 percent disapproval. This is, if anything, generous to Obama, as the average non-Fox polls has shown 57 percent approval and 37 percent disapproval over this interval.

  3. Kevin Says:

    Michelle Obama/Oprah 2012?

  4. bob Says:

    The key numbers:

    Indie F/UF:

    Obama 34/51

    Palin 49/38

  5. Sean M Says:

    Interesting: Romney usually gets the higher favorables from Independents than the other two.

  6. Tommy Boy Says:

    Sean,

    It could be that the conservative indies are still not self-identifying as Republicans. Mitt also does a lot better in this poll among Republicans than other pollsters such as PPP(D). So I would suspect this Republican sample was more moderate and that this indy sample was more conservative (Obama’s approval rating among indies in this poll is similar to his approval rating with rasmussen among indies).

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