November 20, 2009

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Arizona 2010 GOP Senatorial Primary

Rasmussen Arizona 2010 GOP Senatorial Primary

  • John McCain 45%
  • J.D. Hayworth 43%
  • Chris Simcox 4%
  • Some other candidate 2%
  • Not sure 7%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • J.D. Hayworth 67% / 16% {+51%}
  • John McCain 74% / 24% {+50%}
  • Chris Simcox 27% / 26% {+1%}

Survey of 570 Likely Voters was conducted November 18. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

by @ 11:40 am. Filed under 2010, John McCain, Poll Watch
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41 Responses to “Poll Watch: Rasmussen Arizona 2010 GOP Senatorial Primary”

  1. Kavon W. Nikrad Says:

    Oh… My… Gosh….

  2. BOSMAN Says:

    Sheriff Joe Arpaio for Sanator?

  3. Alex Knepper Says:

    BOOM

  4. Alex Knepper Says:

    I’m tellin’ you, folks, the lunatics are taking over the asylum.

    Kavon, you have no room to speak, you defended the attack by CFG on Bob Bennett!

  5. Kavon W. Nikrad Says:

    You mean the Bob Bennett who, behinds the scenes, has been pushing a senate health care “compromise” to the left of the Baucus bill?

    Damn straight and proud of it! Nothing will make me happier than to see Bennett successfully primaried and replaced by the kind of conservative that we should be getting out of the most conservative state in American.

    Jason Chaffetz 2010 baby! Where can I send my check?

  6. Alex Knepper Says:

    Well, why are you so upset that Hayworth might oust J-Mac, then? You know his heresies as well as I do.

  7. David Says:

    If AZ Republicans are willing to toss aside John McCain for a self-dealing Abramoff-connected hack like Hayworth, there really is no hope for the party.

    Having said that, rumors of McCain’s AZ demise have been predicted before (some thought Romney could beat him in the primary there.) I suspect he’s got the state pretty wired.

    Still, a patently ridiculous development.

  8. Kavon W. Nikrad Says:

    I don’t know… I just like J-Mac so much as a person, as an American… For some reason his heresies don’t enrage me like they do with other folks. It’s some kind of personality flaw on my part.

    I just love the old sonofabitch, I can’t help myself. He IS a great American, politics aside.

  9. Anthony Dalke Says:

    Will the media give this story more coverage than the fact that Obama has dropped below 50 in Gallup?

  10. Alex Knepper Says:

    9 – “TEABAGGERS WANT TO OUST THEIR PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE!”

    Well, Winston Churchill lost right after World War 2. Hard to top that.

  11. Anthony Dalke Says:

    10,

    I see the headlines now…

  12. GrannyT Says:

    “The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.” dead heat…about time McCain “retires” so conservatives can have a vote. http://www.ontheissues.org/House/J_D__Hayworth.htm

  13. Benjamin Hodge Says:

    I have a tremendous amount of respect for John McCain.

    But it’s indefensible that McCain’s chief domestic accomplishment is the taking away of First Amendment freedoms.

  14. Tommy Boy Says:

    #8 Kristol responded pretty quickly to the rasmussen poll

    How Palin Will Help McCain
    By Bill Kristol
    http://www.weeklystandard.com/weblogs/TWSFP/2009/11/how_palin_will_help_mccain.asp

  15. Jamison Says:

    Oh. My.

    I’ve never even HEARD of this Hayworth character!

  16. Kristofer Lorelli Says:

    15 – hard-core anti-illegal immigration talk-show host and former Congressman.

    He lost his District as demographics changed.

  17. Kavon W. Nikrad Says:

    Oh. My. I’ve never even HEARD of this Hayworth character!

    For an introduction Jamison, google “Hayworth+Abramoff” and see what you find.

  18. Kavon W. Nikrad Says:

    For those who are unfamiliar, here’s more on rising GOP star Jason Chaffetz:

    In the primary on June 24, 2008, Chaffetz defeated Cannon by a vote of 60% to 40%. Chaffetz’s victory was shocking on several fronts. Cannon was endorsed by George W. Bush, the state’s two U.S. Senators (Orrin Hatch and Bob Bennett) and virtually all of the state Republican establishment. Cannon outspent him by 6 to 1, had a paid staff, as well as the endorsement of all three of the local newspapers. In contrast, Chaffetz won no significant endorsements and refused to buy meals and trinkets for his supporters. He had unpaid staff and a grassroots organization of more than 1,000 volunteers. He received the bulk of his campaign contributions from individual donors, and his campaign was 100% debt-free.

    Chaffetz announced at the start of the Congressional term in 2009 that he would be sleeping on a cot in his office rather than renting a Washington, D.C. apartment. Chaffetz said, “I’m trying to live the example that it doesn’t take big dollars in order to get where we want to go. I can save my family $1,500 a month by sleeping on a cot in my office as opposed to getting a fancy place that’s maybe a little bit more comfortable.” His family will continue to live in Alpine. “We are now $10 trillion in debt. $10 trillion. Those are expenses that have to be paid at some point,” he said. If he can tighten his belt in these tough economic times, Chaffetz said, Congress should be able to as well.

  19. Tommy Boy Says:

    #18 Sounds like I can jump on as well with the Chaffetz bandwagon.

  20. fredo Says:

    Kavon, I was just enjoying JD’s return to the limelight, and you have ruin it with that?!

    Jamison, just google crazy-man square-top buzz-cut who can talk-a-mile-a-minute and you’ll get the good stuff.

  21. tim Says:

    gallup will have obama under 50% at 1 pm, that is the 4th recent poll to do so along with fox, rasmussen, and Q

  22. Max Twain Says:

    Funny thing is it will likely be a Palin endorsement that saves McCain in the primary.

  23. Daniel Says:

    Has Hayworth announced his candidacy or is this poll purely hypothetical?

  24. Tommy Boy Says:

    McCain is pretty much tied with Hayworth in every age group except for the following:

    18-29 likely GOP primary voters

    Hayworth 55%
    McCain 26%

    65+ likely GOP primary voters

    McCain 49%
    Hawworth 38%

  25. Cali Mark Says:

    I still think McCain pulls this one out.

  26. BOSMAN Says:

    Is it just wishful thinking?

    http://tableofwisdom.com/www.ArpaioForSenate.html

  27. fredo Says:

    ^^^ yes

  28. Kevin Says:

    The nuts have taken over the party…

    Oh well. Bye, McCain.

  29. MPC Says:

    “I don’t know… I just like J-Mac so much as a person, as an American… For some reason his heresies don’t enrage me like they do with other folks. It’s some kind of personality flaw on my part.

    I just love the old sonofabitch, I can’t help myself. He IS a great American, politics aside.”

    Exactly! And that’s why its so patently idiotic to go around attacking him. This is far beyond even going on a purist crusade against Charlie Crist. All those times conservatives hated him back in the Bush Administration, over taxes especially, McCain ended up being right. Every single time.

    Fact is I don’t like politicians that go lock-step with the prevailing winds. Especially not the immigrant bashers of the party. McCain’s got an independent streak a mile wide and you won’t find such a fine character as he anywhere else in the halls of the Senate. Throw him out and you’ll get your party of twenty-thirty pure conservatives, that’s for sure. No one with a brain will ever vote for a Republican Party lead by the tea party mob.

    I don’t think McCain’s in any real danger here, that being said. He’s been working very hard to position himself solidly center-right with his work in Congress lately. And the tea partyers strength is overstated for sure.

    Anyone wanting McCain out needs to think long and hard about the consequences.

  30. Adam Says:

    Yep. The crazies are taking over. Republicans are going to blow a golden opportunity next year if this keeps up. We suck.

  31. Jamison Says:

    I honestly do not see Arizonans voting John McCain out. It just ain’t gonna happen.

  32. MWS Says:

    McCain is +50 favorable and only 2 points ahead as the incumbent?

    “We really love you John, that’s why it’s so hard to tell you this. And really, it’s not you, it’s us….”

    But we can still be friends, right?

  33. MPC Says:

    McCain could always remind folks that Abramoff’s little accomplice isn’t bound to do much good for conservative principles anyways. He’ll certainly be selling them off as fast as he can get his hands on them.

  34. Benjamin Hodge Says:

    #28 Kevin and #30 Adam:

    With the disclaimer (repeated from my #13 comment) that I most certainly respect the man that is John McCain, please justify why you describe as irrational Republicans supporting an opponent to the candidate John McCain, when John McCain was the chief proponent of one of the most offensive pieces of legislation in American history, McCain-Feingold.

  35. Bob Hovic Says:

    “please justify why you describe as irrational Republicans supporting an opponent to the candidate John McCain’

    Because the opponent is J.D. Hayworth. I would support McCain against almost anybody, but I would understand people supporting Shadegg or Flake, for example. That would be rational (I might even support Flake myself). But Hayworth? No — he’s one of the crooks who helped discredit the Republican brand name.

  36. still hurting in AZ Says:

    It’s not that I wouldn’t bend an elbow at the John McCain retirement party, but not for a 15 watt bulb like JD. Give me Shadegg any day. But I suspect he is biding his time until John leaves on his own and then officially gives his blessing. That way, all the well healed donors know where to send the checks. That notwithstanding, Shadegg is top drawer.

  37. Sean P Says:

    “All those times conservatives hated him back in the Bush Administration, over taxes especially, McCain ended up being right. Every single time.”

    Not exactly. CFR turned out to be every bit as ineffective in controlling the cost of campaigns and attendant corruption, and every bit as dangerous to free speech as its detractors said, so there’s that (and although Bush technically signed McCain Feingold into law, up to the moment he did he said he opposed it). But, yeah, he was right about Iraq and spending and pork.

  38. Adam Graham Says:

    Hope’n Change. I don’t think anything would excite conservatives around the country and fule the grassroots than McCain going down in flames. Also, let it be said that McCain is vulnerable. He didn’t get a Majority in the Arizona GOP Primary. The question is if J.D. Hayworth wants this. I saw him a couple years ago back at CPAC. He looked great (about 40 pounds thinner) and ready to roll.

  39. Hoser Says:

    I’m not high on Hayworth, but I would love to see McCain retired. I guess I’m a nut and a lunatic.

  40. Heath Says:

    Perhaps the over 50% of people who believe that ACORN stole the election mostly live in Arizona!!!

    How bizarre. In my country I’m way right wing but if it wasn’t for sensible people like McCain/Romney/Ryan I don’t know that I could vote republican if I were to vote in your country!

    Nonetheless like the man he replaced McCain will have a long senate career after a big general election loss to a liberal democrat.

  41. Larry B Says:

    Personally, I do think challenging Bob Bennett (R-UT) is perfectly legitimate. We will win in Utah no matter what. On the other hand, I’d have to see if Hayworth would win the general election before supporting him over McCain.

    BTW,

    I supported Chuck Baldwin in 2008. Can’t put a puppet of the CFR in the white house again

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