Rasmussen Maryland General Election

• Barack Obama 53%
• John McCain 41%

With Leaners

• Barack Obama 53%
• John McCain 43%

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• Barack Obama 61% / 39% (+22%)
• John McCain 56% / 43% (+13%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted August 18. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

InsiderAdvantage North Carolina General Election

• John McCain 44.5%
• Barack Obama 42.8%

Survey of 614 likely voters was conducted August 19. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points.

Rasmussen New Hampshire General Election

• Barack Obama 43% (47%)
• John McCain 42% (41%)

With Leaners

• Barack Obama 47% (49%)
• John McCain 46% (45%)

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• John McCain 57% / 40% (+17%)
• Barack Obama 55% / 43% (+12%)

Survey of 700 likely voters was conducted August 18. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 23 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

The latest numbers show support growing for McCain from those in his party. He now earns the vote from 87% of GOP voters, up from 78% a month ago. Though Obama still has a 42% to 34% lead among unaffiliated voters, support for the Democrat is down from 50% last month. He also has a 46% to 38% lead among women. Among men in New Hampshire, McCain has a 46% to 40% edge.

While Obama has a solid lead among younger voters, the race is close among voters between the ages of 30 and 64. McCain has a dominant lead among voters age 65 and older.

UI Hawkeye Iowa General Election

• Barack Obama 46.5%
• John McCain 38.0%

With Leaners

• Barack Obama 49.5%
• John McCain 43.1%

Survey of 617 likely voters was conducted August 4-13. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.

ASU Arizona General Election

• John McCain 40%
• Barack Obama 30%
• Undecided 28%

Survey of 402 registered voters was conducted August 14-16. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.

PPP (D) Missouri General Election

• John McCain 50% (47%)
• Barack Obama 40% (44%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted August 13-17. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 2-5 are in parentheses.

McCain by 5 seems like a good theme for polls today, and the good news keeps on coming as Rasmussen shows him up in the major battleground state of Ohio:

Rasmussen Reports Ohio General Election

With Leaners

• McCain - 48%
• Obama - 43%

Without Leaners

• McCain - 45%
• Obama - 41%

Survey was conducted August 18 of 700 likely voters and has a 4% MoE.

SurveyUSA Indiana Poll, conducted Aug. 16th-18th, 2008

• John McCain 50%
• Barack Obama 44%

SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Indiana adults 08/16/08 through 08/18/08. Of them, 779 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 645 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Indiana has 11 Electoral College votes. George W. Bush carried Indiana by 21 points in 2004 and by 16 points in 2000. Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.9%.

This poll brings Sen. McCain to a 274-264 lead in the Electoral College per Real Clear Politics’ calculation.

Inside the numbers:

Among those who regularly attend religious services, McCain leads by 28 points, up from 16 points eight weeks ago. Among those who occasionally attend, Obama leads by 14. Among those who rarely attend, Obama leads by 23. The field period for this survey overlapped with the candidates’ participation in Pastor Rick Warren’s Saddleback Civil Forum on the Presidency, held in California 08/16/08. Among men, McCain leads by 12 points; among women, McCain and Obama tie. Eight weeks ago, Obama had led by 7 among women. Among voters younger than Barack Obama, the two candidates tie. Among voters older than John McCain, McCain leads by 21 points; among voters who are in-between the two candidates’ ages, McCain leads by 9. 12% of Republicans cross over to vote for Democrat Obama; 19% of Democrats cross over to vote for Republican McCain. Independents favor Obama by 12 points. Among those who have graduated from a 4-year college, McCain leads by 15 points; among those who have not, McCain and Obama tie. Among those with household incomes of less than $50,000, Obama leads by 11; among those with incomes above $50,000, McCain leads by 18.

Civitas/TelOpinion (R) North Carolina General Election

• John McCain 46% (43%)
• Barack Obama 40% (40%)

Survey of 600 registered voters was conducted August 14-17. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 14-16 are in parentheses.

Susquehanna Pennsylvania General Election

• Barack Obama 46%
• John McCain 41%

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• Barack Obama 46% / 32% (+14%)
• John McCain 44% / 34% (+10%)

Survey of 700 likely voters was conducted August 11-14. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.

Rasmussen Louisiana General Election

• John McCain 55% (54%)
• Barack Obama 38% (34%)

With Leaners:

• John McCain 57% (56%)
• Barack Obama 39% (37%)

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• John McCain 60% / 34% (+26%)
• Barack Obama 43% / 56% (-13%)

Survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted August 17. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 9 are in parentheses.

Rasmussen Florida General Election

• John McCain 46% (45%)
• Barack Obama 43% (46%)

With Leaners

• John McCain 48%
• Barack Obama 46%

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• John McCain 61% / 36% (+25%)
• Barack Obama 49% / 48% (+1%)

Survey of 700 likely voters was conducted August 18. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 22 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

McCain regained sizable ground among unaffiliated voters in the new survey. After trailing among unaffiliateds by 23% in July, he has now drawn even with Obama among those voters. McCain earns the vote from 86% of Republicans while 78% of Democrats say they’ll vote for Obama.

As he does nationally, Obama leads McCain among women voters. In Florida, he has a 52% to 41% advantage, roughly comparable to last month. McCain has an even larger spread among men, 51% to 33%. That represents a sizable gain since July.

SurveyUSA Minnesota Poll, conducted Aug. 13th-14th, 2008

• Barack Obama 47%
• John McCain 45%

SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Minnesota adults 08/13/08 through 08/14/08. Of them, 818 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 682 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. 3.8 percentage point margin of sampling error.

Rasmussen Illinois General Election

• Barack Obama 53% (50%)
• John McCain 38% (37%)

With Leaners

• Barack Obama 55% (52%)
• John McCain 40% (41%)

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• Barack Obama 64% / 35% (+29%)
• John McCain 52% / 44% (+8%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted August 12. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 8 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

McCain has the support of 85% of Illinois Republicans, while 89% of the state’s Democrats are backing Obama. The Democrat has a sizable 51% to 34% lead among unaffiliated voters.

Obama’s 55% to 36% lead among women voters is virtually identical to last month’s findings, but he has jumped out to a 10-percentage point lead among men voters 51% to 41%. Last month McCain trailed by only three points.

Rasmussen Georgia General Election

• John McCain 50% (48%)
• Barack Obama 43% (39%)

With Leaners

• John McCain 53% (53%)
• Barack Obama 44% (42%)

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• John McCain 58% / 39% (+19%)
• Barack Obama 50% / 46% (+4%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted August 14. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 17 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

While both McCain and Obama earn roughly equal support from their own parties, McCain has a thirteen percentage point advantage among unaffiliated voters. McCain leads by twenty among men while the candidates are roughly even among women.

Libertarian candidate Bob Barr, who served in Congress as part of Georgia’s Congressional delegation, picks up 3% of the vote initially. But when asked a follow-up question only 1% remain committed to the man some view as a potential spoiler for McCain’s hopes.

Twenty-two percent (22%) of Georgia voters say they would be more likely to vote for Obama if longtime former Georgia Senator San Nunn were chosen as his vice presidential running mate. The same number (22%) say that choice would make them less likely to vote for the democrat. Half of voters (49%) say the appointment would have no impact.

Siena New York General Election

• Barack Obama 47% (44%)
• John McCain 39% (26%)
• Undecided 14% (25%)

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• Barack Obama 54% / 34% (+20%)
• John McCain 49% / 41% (+8%)

Survey of 627 registered voters was conducted August 11-14. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 17-29 are in parentheses. In the 2004 election, Senator Kerry defeated President Bush in New York, 59-40%.

Public Policy Polling (D) Ohio Poll

• John McCain 45%
• Barack Obama 45%

PPP surveyed 950 likely voters from August 12th to 14th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-3.2%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

Inside the numbers:

One factor causing Obama problems is that he’s not doing as good a job as McCain of getting folks in his party to vote for him. While McCain leads 89-7 among Republicans, Obama’s lead is a narrower 75-17 among Democrats. Obama has the 45-28 edge with independent voters.

The Democrats neglecting to choose Obama are disproportionately white, female, and middle aged, an indication that it could be former supporters of Hillary Clinton who are holding out.

Rocky Mountain News/CBS4 Colorado General Election

• John McCain 44%
• Barack Obama 41%

Survey of 500 registered voters was conducted August 11-13. The margin of error is +/- 4.38 percentage points.

Rasmussen Maine General Election Poll

• Barack Obama 49% (46%)
• John McCain 36% (36%)

With Leaners:

• Barack Obama 53% (49%)
• John McCain 39% (41%)

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• Barack Obama 61% / 36% (+25%)
• John McCain 53% / 44% (+9%)

Survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted August 12. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 17 are in parentheses.

Rasmussen North Carolina General Election Poll

• John McCain 46% (45%)
• Barack Obama 42% (42%)

With Leaners:

• John McCain 50% (48%)
• Barack Obama 44% (45%)

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• John McCain 59% / 40% (+19%)
• Barack Obama 51% / 48% (+3%)

Survey of 700 Likely Voters was conducted August 13. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 15 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

In North Carolina, McCain is supported by 87% of Republicans while Obama is backed by 74% of Democrats. McCain has a slight lead among unaffiliated voters, a reversal from last month.

McCain leads by a more than two-to-one margin among white voters while Obama is supported by 93% of African-Americans. McCain leads by twenty percentage points among men, but trails Obama by five among women.

Rasmussen Minnesota General Election

• Barack Obama 46% (49%)
• John McCain 42% (37%)

With Leaners

• Barack Obama 49% (52%)
• John McCain 45% (39%)

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• John McCain 60% / 39% (+21%)
• Barack Obama 56% / 42% (+14%)

Survey of 700 likely voters was conducted August 13. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 22 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Obama’s 19-point lead among women voters last month is now down to 13. McCain has moved ahead among male voters, who now favor the Republican 47% to 42%. Last month, Obama had a slight edge among men.

Picking Minnesota’s Republican Governor Tim Pawlenty as his running mate might cost McCain more votes in the state than he will gain. Thirty-four percent (34%) of Minnesota voters say they are less likely to vote for the GOP candidate if Pawlenty is the vice presidential nominee, while 28% say it makes them more likely to vote for McCain. Thirty-five percent (35%) say it will have no impact on how they vote.

Nearly a third of unaffiliated voters (32%), however, say putting Pawlenty on the GOP ticket makes them less likely to vote for it, while 22% say it makes them more likely to vote for McCain.

Rasmussen Colorado General Election

• John McCain 47% (42%)
• Barack Obama 45% (49%)

With Leaners

• John McCain 49% (47%)
• Barack Obama 48% (50%)

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• John McCain 56% / 41% (+15%)
• Barack Obama 54% / 45% (+9%)

Survey of 700 likely voters was conducted August 13. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 21 are in parentheses.

SurveyUSA Washington General Election

• Barack Obama 51% (55%)
• John McCain 44% (39%)

Survey of 718 likely voters was conducted August 11-12. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 13-15 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Among women, Obama had led by 22, now leads by 15. Among men, Obama had led by 10, now trails by 1. Among voters younger than Obama, Obama’s lead has fallen from 19 points to 10 points. Among voters older than John McCain, Obama’s lead has fallen from 24 points to 8 points. Among those voters in between the two candidates’ ages, Obama had led by 10, now leads by 4. Obama has lost ground and McCain has gained ground among every demographic group. One month ago, 14% of Republicans crossed over to vote for Democrat Obama; today, 6% do so. McCain now gets 90% of Republican votes. Obama is up slightly among Democrats; one month ago, he took 87% of Democratic votes; today, he takes 91%. One month ago, Obama led by 7 among independents; today, he trails by 2. In Metro Seattle, Obama led by 29, now leads by 15. In the remainder of Western Washington, Obama had led by 11, now leads by 8. In Eastern Washington, McCain had led by 11, now leads by 13.

InsiderAdvantage Virginia General Election

• John McCain 43.1%
• Barack Obama 42.6%

Survey of 416 likely voters was conducted August 12. The margin of error is ±5 percentage points.

Strategic Vision (R) Wisconsin General Election

• Barack Obama 47%
• John McCain 42%

Survey of voters was conducted August 8-10. The margin of error is ±3 percentage points.

Rasmussen Kansas General Election Poll

• John McCain 52% (52%)
• Barack Obama 37% (32%)

With Leaners:

• John McCain 55% (58%)
• Barack Obama 41% (35%)

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• John McCain 66% / 33% (+33)
• Barack Obama 48% / 52% (-4)

Survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted August 11. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 14 are in parentheses.

Rasmussen Virginia General Election Poll

• Barack Obama 45% (44%)
• John McCain 44% (44%)

With Leaners:

• John McCain 48% (48%)
• Barack Obama 47% (47%)

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• John McCain 61% / 36% (+25%)
• Barack Obama 51% / 47% (+4%)

Survey of 700 Likely Voters was conducted August 12. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 16 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

The difference between those two results can be found primarily among unaffiliated voters. Without leaners, McCain has a twelve point advantage among those not affiliated with either major party. When leaners are included, McCain’s advantage grows to seventeen points, 54% to 37%.

Two Virginia politicians have been mentioned as potential Vice Presidential candidates. Neither appears poised to make a significant impact. Twenty-six percent (26%) of voters statewide say adding Governor Tim Kaine to the ticket would make them more likely to vote for Obama. A nearly identical number (25%) would be less likely to vote for Obama. Among unaffiliated voters, 12% consider adding Kaine a plus while 24% hold the opposite view.

As for Congressman Eric Cantor, just 12% of voters would be more likely to vote for McCain with him on ticket. Twenty-three percent (23%) would be less likely to do so. Among unaffiliated voters, 8% more likely, 23% less likely.

Rasmussen Nevada General Election Poll

• John McCain 45% (40%)
• Barack Obama 42% (42%)

With Leaners:

• John McCain 48% (45%)
• Barack Obama 45% (47%)

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• John McCain 58% / 42% (+16%)
• Barack Obama 47% / 51% (-4%)

Survey of 700 Likely Voters was conducted August 11. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 16 are in parentheses.

Quinnipiac New Jersey General Election

• Barack Obama 51% (45%)
• John McCain 41% (39%)

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• Barack Obama 57% / 31% (+26%)
• John McCain 54% / 35% (+19%)

 

• Among Men: McCain 48%, Obama 45%
• Among Women: Obama 53%, McCain 38%

 

• Among Whites: McCain 50%, Obama 42%
• Among Blacks: Obama 94%, McCain 1%

 

• Among Republicans: McCain 87%, Obama 11%
• Among Democrats: Obama 86%, McCain 8%
• Among Independents: Obama 45%, McCain 42%

Survey of 1,468 likely voters was conducted August 4-10. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 5-8 are in parentheses.

Franklin & Marshall Pennsylvania General Election

• Barack Obama 46% (42%)
• John McCain 41% (36%)

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• Barack Obama 43% / 29% (+14%)
• John McCain 39% / 32% (+7%)

Which candidate, Barack Obama or John McCain, do you think is best described by each of the following statements?

• Has the experience needed to be president
• John McCain 60%
• Barack Obama 22%

 

• Will best protect the United States against terrorism
• John McCain 53%
• Barack Obama 29%

 

• Will best handle the situation in Iraq
• John McCain 48%
• Barack Obama 39%

 

• Is most able to handle the economy
• Barack Obama 42%
• John McCain 39%

 

• Is most able to develop a comprehensive energy policy that will reduce dependence on foreign oil
• Barack Obama 47%
• John McCain 34%

Survey of 370 likely voters was conducted August 4-9. Results from the poll conducted June 16-22 are in parentheses.