Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/22)
- Barack Obama 49%
- Hillary Clinton 41%
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (4/22)
- John McCain 47%
- Barack Obama 44%
- John McCain 49%
- Hillary Clinton 43%
Rasmussen Daily Favorable/Unfavorable Tracker (4/22)
- John McCain 52%/44% Net +8%
- Barack Obama 49%/49% Net 0%
- Hillary Clinton 43%/55% Net -12%
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Each update includes approximately 900 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 800 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
And here’s yesterday’s numbers:
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/21)
- Barack Obama 47%
- Hillary Clinton 42%
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (4/21)
- John McCain 48%
- Barack Obama 43%
- John McCain 48%
- Hillary Clinton 43%
Rasmussen Daily Favorable/Unfavorable Tracker (4/21)
- John McCain 56%/41% Net +12%
- Barack Obama 47%/51% Net -4%
- Hillary Clinton 44%/54% Net -14%
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/19)
- Barack Obama 45%
- Hillary Clinton 43%
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (4/19)
- John McCain 48%
- Barack Obama 41%
- John McCain 49%
- Hillary Clinton 42%
Rasmussen Daily Favorable/Unfavorable Tracker (4/19)
- John McCain 56%/40% Net +16%
- Barack Obama 47%/51% Net -4%
- Hillary Clinton 45%/53% Net -8%
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Each update includes approximately 900 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 800 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
And here’s yesterday’s numbers:
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/18)
- Barack Obama 46%
- Hillary Clinton 41%
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (4/18)
- John McCain 48%
- Barack Obama 42%
- John McCain 50%
- Hillary Clinton 41%
Rasmussen Daily Favorable/Unfavorable Tracker (4/18)
- John McCain 56%/41% Net +12%
- Barack Obama 47%/51% Net -2%
- Hillary Clinton 43%/55% Net -14%
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/17)
- Barack Obama 48%
- Hillary Clinton 41%
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (4/17)
- John McCain 47%
- Barack Obama 43%
- John McCain 49%
- Hillary Clinton 41%
Rasmussen Daily Favorable/Unfavorable Tracker (4/17)
- John McCain 55%/43% Net +12%
- Barack Obama 48%/50% Net -2%
- Hillary Clinton 42%/56% Net -14%
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Each update includes approximately 900 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 800 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Inside the favorable/unfavorable numbers:
There is no significant gender gap in perceptions of John McCain. He earns favorable reviews from 56% of men and 54% of women. For Obama, there is a six-point gap-he is viewed favorably by 45% of men and 51% of women. For Clinton, the gender gap is huge. Only 33% of men have a favorable opinion of her along with 48% of women.
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/16)
- Barack Obama 48%
- Hillary Clinton 41%
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (4/16)
- John McCain 47%
- Barack Obama 43%
- John McCain 50%
- Hillary Clinton 40%
Rasmussen Daily Favorable/Unfavorable Tracker (4/15)
- John McCain 55%/42% Net +13%
- Barack Obama 47%/51% Net even%
- Hillary Clinton 42%/56% Net -14%
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Each update includes approximately 900 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 800 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Here’s today’s daily update:
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/15)
- Barack Obama 50%
- Hillary Clinton 41
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (4/15)
- John McCain 47%
- Barack Obama 43%
- John McCain 48%
- Hillary Clinton 41%
Rasmussen Daily Favorable/Unfavorable Tracker (4/15)
- John McCain 53%/45% Net +8%
- Barack Obama 49%/49% Net even%
- Hillary Clinton 43%/54% Net -11%
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Each update includes approximately 900 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 800 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
And yesterday’s in case you missed it:
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/14)
- Barack Obama 48%
- Hillary Clinton 44%
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (4/14)
- John McCain 49%
- Barack Obama 42%
- John McCain 47%
- Hillary Clinton 43%
Rasmussen Daily Favorable/Unfavorable Tracker (4/14)
- John McCain 54%/43% Net +11%
- Barack Obama 48%/50% Net -2%
- Hillary Clinton 46%/51% Net -5%
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Each update includes approximately 900 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 800 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/13)
- Hillary Clinton 46% (44%)
- Barack Obama 45% (46%)
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (4/13)
- John McCain 50% (47%)
- Barack Obama 42% (43%)
- John McCain 49% (47%)
- Hillary Clinton 41% (43%)
Rasmussen Daily Favorable/Unfavorable Tracker (4/13)
- John McCain 55%/42% Net +13%
- Barack Obama 48%/50% Net -2%
- Hillary Clinton 46%/51% Net -5%
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Each update includes approximately 900 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 800 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/12)
- Barack Obama 47%
- Hillary Clinton 44%
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (4/12)
- John McCain 47%
- Barack Obama 43%
- John McCain 47%
- Hillary Clinton 43%
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/11)
- Barack Obama 47%
- Hillary Clinton 44%
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (4/11)
- John McCain 47%
- Barack Obama 43%
- John McCain 48%
- Hillary Clinton 42%
From the AP story:
Republican Sen. John McCain has erased Sen. Barack Obama’s 10-point advantage in a head-to-head matchup, leaving him essentially tied with both Democratic candidates in an Associated Press-Ipsos national poll released Thursday.
The survey showed the extended Democratic primary campaign creating divisions among supporters of Obama and rival Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton and suggests a tight race for the presidency in November no matter which Democrat becomes the nominee.
McCain is benefiting from a bounce since he clinched the GOP nomination a month ago. The four-term Arizona senator has moved up in matchups with each of the Democratic candidates, particularly Obama.
An AP-Ipsos poll taken in late February had Obama leading McCain 51-41 percent. The current survey, conducted April 7-9, had them at 45 percent each. McCain leads Obama among men, whites, Southerners, married women and independents.
Clinton led McCain, 48-43 percent, in February. The latest survey showed the New York senator with 48 percent support to McCain’s 45 percent. Factoring in the poll’s margin of error of 3.1 percentage points, Clinton and McCain are statistically tied.
But the heated primary is creating divisions among the electorate - many Clinton and Obama supporters say they would rather vote for McCain if their chosen Democrat doesn’t win the nomination.
About a quarter of Obama supporters say they’ll vote for McCain if Clinton is the Democratic nominee. About a third of Clinton supporters say they would vote for McCain if it’s Obama.
Against McCain, Obama lost ground among women - from 57 percent in February to 47 percent in April. Obama dropped 12 points among women under 45, 14 points among suburban women and 15 points among married women.
He also lost nine points or more among voters under 35, high-income households, whites, Catholics, independents, Southerners, people living in the Northeast and those with a high school education or less.
Despite all the conflict surrounding Obama, the Democratic contest is unchanged from February with Obama at 46 percent and Clinton at 43 percent.
Although the race between Clinton and Obama remained unchanged, there were a few shifts in whom voters are choosing:
• The gender gap has mostly disappeared, with Clinton losing her advantage among women. In February, 51 percent of Democratic women supported Clinton while 38 percent were for Obama. Now they’re statistically tied at 44 percent for Clinton, 42 percent for Obama. That is partially offset by a decline in male support for Obama, down 7 points to 50 percent, while Clinton gained 10 points among men. She is now at 42 percent.
• Obama and Clinton are now statistically about even among households earning under $50,000. In late February, Clinton led 54 percent to 37 percent, but now it is just 48 percent to 41 percent.
• Obama now leads Clinton among self-described moderate Democrats, 51 percent to 35 percent. Previously they were 45 percent Clinton, 40 percent Obama.
Here’s the poll:
AP-IPSOS 2008 General Election and Democratic National Primary Poll, conducted April 7th-9th, 2008
- John McCain 45%
- Barack Obama 45%
- Hillary Clinton 48%
- John McCain 45%
The poll questioned 1,005 adults nationally. Included were interviews with 489 Democratic voters and people leaning Democratic, with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.4 points; and 369 Republicans or GOP-leaning voters, with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 5.1 points.
Gallup Daily General Election Tracker (4/10)
- Barack Obama 46%
- John McCain 45%
- John McCain 46%
- Hillary Clinton 45%
Gallup Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/10)
- Barack Obama 50%
- Hillary Clinton 42%
Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.
The general election results are based on combined data from April 5-9, 2008. For results based on this sample of 4,378 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.
The Democratic nomination results are based on combined data from April 7-9, 2008. For results based on this sample of 1,204 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/10)
- Barack Obama 48%
- Hillary Clinton 41%
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (4/10)
- John McCain 46%
- Barack Obama 45%
- John McCain 48%
- Hillary Clinton 42%
Today’s results:
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/9)
- Barack Obama 50%
- Hillary Clinton 41%
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (4/9)
- Barack Obama 46%
- John McCain 45%
- John McCain 47%
- Hillary Clinton 44%
And here are Tuesday’s:
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/8)
- Barack Obama 51%
- Hillary Clinton 40%
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (4/8)
- John McCain 47%
- Barack Obama 45%
- John McCain 47%
- Hillary Clinton 43%
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Each update includes approximately 900 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 800 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Gallup Daily General Election Tracker (4/5)
- John McCain 45%
- Barack Obama 45%
- John McCain 47%
- Hillary Clinton 45%
Gallup Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/5)
- Barack Obama 49%
- Hillary Clinton 42%
Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.
The general election results are based on combined data from March 31 -April 4, 2008. For results based on this sample of 4,407 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.
The Democratic nomination results are based on combined data from April 2-4, 2008. For results based on this sample of 1,221 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/5)
- Barack Obama 51%
- Hillary Clinton 41%
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (4/5)
- John McCain 47%
- Barack Obama 44%
- John McCain 47%
- Hillary Clinton 42%
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Each update includes approximately 900 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 800 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/4)
- Barack Obama 48%
- Hillary Clinton 42%
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (4/4)
- John McCain 47%
- Barack Obama 44%
- John McCain 47%
- Hillary Clinton 42%
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Each update includes approximately 900 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 800 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Gallup Daily General Election Tracker (4/3)
- John McCain 46%
- Barack Obama 45%
- John McCain 47%
- Hillary Clinton 45%
Gallup Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/2)
- Barack Obama 49%
- Hillary Clinton 46%
Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.
The general election results are based on combined data from March 29-April 2, 2008. For results based on this sample of 4,423 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.
The Democratic nomination results are based on combined data from March 31-April 2, 2008. For results based on this sample of 1,238 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/3)
- Barack Obama 46%
- Hillary Clinton 43%
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (4/3)
- John McCain 48%
- Barack Obama 41%
- John McCain 47%
- Hillary Clinton 42%
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Each update includes approximately 900 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 800 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Gallup Daily General Election Tracker (4/2)
- John McCain 46%
- Barack Obama 44%
- John McCain 47%
- Hillary Clinton 45%
Gallup Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/2)
- Barack Obama 49%
- Hillary Clinton 46%
Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.
The general election results are based on combined data from March 28-April 1, 2008. For results based on this sample of 4,431 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.
The Democratic nomination results are based on combined data from March 30-April 1, 2008. For results based on this sample of 1,262 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/2)
- Hillary Clinton 45%
- Barack Obama 44%
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (4/2)
- John McCain 47%
- Barack Obama 41%
- John McCain 46%
- Hillary Clinton 42%
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Each update includes approximately 900 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 800 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Gallup Daily General Election Tracker (4/1)
- John McCain 46%
- Barack Obama 44%
- John McCain 47%
- Hillary Clinton 45%
Gallup Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/1)
- Barack Obama 49%
- Hillary Clinton 45%
Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.
The general election results are based on combined data from March 27-31, 2008. For results based on this sample of 4,409 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.
The Democratic nomination results are based on combined data from March 29-31, 2008. For results based on this sample of 1,288 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (4/1)
- Barack Obama 46%
- Hilary Clinton 45%
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (4/1)
- John McCain 47%
- Barack Obama 41%
- John McCain 48%
- Hillary Clinton 41%
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Each update includes approximately 900 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 800 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Gallup Daily General Election Tracker (3/31)
- John McCain 46%
- Barack Obama 45%
- John McCain 47%
- Hillary Clinton 45%
Gallup Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (3/31)
- Barack Obama 51%
- Hillary Clinton 43%
Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.
The general election results are based on combined data from March 26-30, 2008. For results based on this sample of 4,394 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.
The Democratic nomination results are based on combined data from March 28-30, 2008. For results based on this sample of 1,262 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.
Today’s update:
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (3/31)
- Barack Obama 46%
- Hilary Clinton 43%
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (3/31)
- John McCain 47%
- Barack Obama 42%
- John McCain 49%
- Hillary Clinton 40%
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Each update includes approximately 900 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 800 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Sunday’s Update:
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (3/30)
- Barack Obama 47%
- Hilary Clinton 42%
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (3/30)
- John McCain 47%
- Barack Obama 44%
- John McCain 50%
- Hillary Clinton 40%
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Each update includes approximately 900 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 800 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (3/29)
- Barack Obama 48% (46%)
- Hilary Clinton 42% (44%)
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (3/29)
- John McCain 48% (49%)
- Barack Obama 43% (42%)
- John McCain 51% (49%)
- Hillary Clinton 40% (42%)
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Each update includes approximately 900 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 800 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Pew Research 2008 Democratic National Primary Poll, conducted March 19th-22nd, 2008
- Barack Obama 49%
- Hillary Clinton 39%
Pew Research 2008 General Election Poll, conducted March 19th-22nd, 2008
- Barack Obama 49%
- John McCain 43%
- Hillary Clinton 49%
- John McCain 44%
Gallup Daily General Election Tracker (3/28)
- John McCain 46%
- Barack Obama 44%
- John McCain 48%
- Hillary Clinton 44%
Gallup Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (3/28)
- Barack Obama 50%
- Hillary Clinton 42%
Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.
The general election results are based on combined data from March 22 and March 24-27, 2008. For results based on this sample of 4,398 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.
The Democratic nomination results are based on combined data from March 25-27, 2008. For results based on this sample of 1,218 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (3/28)
- Barack Obama 46%
- Hillary Clinton 44%
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (3/28)
- John McCain 49%
- Barack Obama 42%
- John McCain 49%
- Hillary Clinton 41%
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. The general election sample is currently based upon interviews with 1,600 Likely Voters. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results from the previous day’s polling are in parentheses.
Gallup Daily General Election Tracker (3/27)
- John McCain 47%
- Barack Obama 44%
- John McCain 47%
- Hillary Clinton 44%
Gallup Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (3/27)
- Barack Obama 48%
- Hillary Clinton 44%
Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.
The general election results are based on combined data from March 21-22 and March 24-26, 2008. For results based on this sample of 4,420 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.
The Democratic nomination results are based on data from March 24-26, 2008. For results based on this sample of 1,236 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.
Rasmussen Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (3/27)
- Hillary Clinton 46%
- Barack Obama 44%
Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracker (3/27)
- John McCain 51%
- Barack Obama 41%
- John McCain 51%
- Hillary Clinton 41%
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. The general election sample is currently based upon interviews with 1,600 Likely Voters. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results from the previous day’s polling are in parentheses.
Gallup Daily General Election Tracker (3/26)
- John McCain 46%
- Barack Obama 44%
- John McCain 47%
- Hillary Clinton 45%
Gallup Daily Democratic Primary Tracker (3/26)
- Barack Obama 47%
- Hillary Clinton 46%
Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.
The general election results are based on combined data from March 20-22 and March 24-25, 2008. For results based on this sample of 4,433 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.
The Democratic nomination results are based on combined data from March 22 and March 24-25, 2008. For results based on this sample of 1,241 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.